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Haryo Kuncoro
Faculty of Economics, State University of Jakarta
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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The cyclicality of government expenditure in developing country: the case of Indonesia Haryo Kuncoro
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 6 Issue 1, 2014
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol6.iss1.art3

Abstract

This paper analyzes the cyclicality and the relationship between government expenditure and output of Indonesia, 1999-2012 using Johansen co-integration test and the error correction model. The results confirm that in the short-run the government expenditure reveals counter-cyclical but pro-cyclical in the longrun. Output and government expenditure are co-integrated and it implies the existence of long-term relationship. The value of short-run elasticity coefficient for government expenditure is relatively high. In contrast, the long-run elasticity coefficient is lower and statistically greater than unity confirming the voracity hypothesis. Furthermore, there is no significant difference of government spending in good and bad times.
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