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All Journal Kinerja Ecosains Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen & Ekonomika Journal of Business and Information System
Deswita Herlina
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Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Journal : Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen

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Response of Indonesia’s Fisheries GDP to Interest Rates, Inflation, Exchange Rates, and Fisheries Sector Performance: A Blue Economy Perspective Ayu Dwi Pitaloka, Dyah; Herlina, Deswita; Suci, Stannia Cahaya; Harahap, Muhammad Nasim
Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomika Vol. 17 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomika, Vol. 17, No.2, Juni 2025
Publisher : Indonesia Banking School

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35384/jime.v17i2.793

Abstract

This study analyzes how Indonesia’s fisheries GDP (FISHGDP) responds to real interest rate, inflation, exchange rate, fisheries production, and exports within the Blue Economy framework. Using VECM and data from 1985–2024, it examines short- and long-term relationships through IRF and Variance Decomposition. Results show fisheries’ GDP responds positively to inflation, production, and exports, but negatively to exchange rates, with mixed responses to interest rates. In the long term, FISHGDP variation is mainly explained by its own past values (80.14%), followed by fisheries production (7.71%), interest rate (6.50%), exchange rate (4.94%), inflation (1.09%), and exports (0.77%). This highlights the key role of macroeconomic stability and fisheries productivity for Indonesia’s Blue Economy growth.
Co-Authors Ayu Dwi Pitaloka, Dyah Badrany, Muhammad Taqy Muhammad Nasim Harahap Prastuti, Rizky Hanifah Rahman, Muhammad Rafi Siahaan, Olindayanti Suci, Stannia Cahaya Wirdianingsih, Windhi