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M. MUSLIMAH
Bogor Agricultural University
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Earth & Planetary Sciences Mathematics

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MODEL SKEDUL MIGRASI DAN APLIKASINYA DALAM PROYEKSI PENDUDUK MULTIREGIONAL M. MUSLIMAH; H. SUMARNO; A. KUSNANTO
MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 8 No. 2 (2009): Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : Dept. of Mathematics, IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (445.119 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jmap.8.2.37-46

Abstract

Migration is one of demographic component beside fertility and mortality. The objective of thesis is to find model migration schedules and its application to multiregional population projection. Rogers et al. (1978) proposed one model migration schedules consist of 11 parameters. As the comparisson to that model this paper proposed another model used polinomial function. By divided Indonesia into two regions, Java-Bali and outer JavaBali, it would be found model migration schedules. The model be implemented to multiregional population projection based on SUPAS 2005 data. The result showed that the population growth continu to decreased and will reach -0,00066 in stable condition.
Co-Authors A. KUSNANTO H. SUMARNO