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All Journal Jurnal Matematika Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Thosan Girisona Suganda
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Mathematics Social Sciences

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Pemanfaatan Big Data dalam Monitoring Pola Aktivitas Aviasi di Indonesia Nasiya Alifah Utami; Thosan Girisona Suganda; Setia Pramana
Jurnal Matematika Vol 11 No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JMAT.2021.v11.i02.p140

Abstract

Abstract: Covid-19 which entered Indonesia in December 2019 has a significant impact on the aviation industry. According to BPS data for 2020, the aviation industry's contribution to Indonesia's GDP decreased from 1.21% to 0.28% in the second quarter of 2020. To overcome this setback, comprehensive monitoring by policy makers is needed. The use of big data in monitoring aviation industry activities can be an option. This study aims to analyze aviation activities using big data approach for monitoring basis. The data was collected by using web scraping method on one of the global aviation websites to obtain flight status data at 108 airports in Indonesia on April 2020 until June 2021. Other data used are google mobility index data, GDP data, and TPK. The analysis method used are descriptive analysis, correlation analysis and machine learning based time series modelling with ARNN, single layer ANN and MLP. The results show that the policy of restricting mobility has a significant effect on the productivity of aviation industry. Machine learning modeling shows that the MLP model is the best model for forecasting international aviation activity. In addition, it was found that the aviation industry has a strong correlation with the economy and tourism sector in Indonesia.
Penerapan Bayesian Network dalam Memodelkan Kondisi Ekonomi Hijau Indonesia di Era Pandemi Berdasarkan Big Data Salwa Rizqina Putri; Thosan Girisona Suganda; Setia Pramana
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (681.519 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1023

Abstract

To support Indonesia's green economic growth, further analysis is needed regarding economic activity during the pandemic and its relationship to environmental conditions. This study aims to apply the Bayesian Network approach in modeling Indonesia's green economy conditions during the pandemic based on variables that are allegedly influential, such as economic activity, air quality, population mobility levels, and positive cases of COVID-19 obtained through big data. The Bayesian Network model that was constructed manually with the Maximum Spanning Tree algorithm was chosen as the best model with an average 5-cross validation accuracy in predicting four classes of GRDP is 0.83. The best model chosen shows that Indonesia's economic conditions in the pandemic era are directly influenced by the intensity of night light (NTL) which shows economic activity, air quality (AQI), and positive cases of COVID-19. Analysis of parameter learning shows that the economic growth of the Indonesian provinces still tends not to be in line with the maintenance of air quality so that efforts to achieve a green economy condition still have to be improved.
Co-Authors Nasiya Alifah Utami Pramana, Setia Salwa Rizqina Putri