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Abdul Khaliq
Universitas Andalas
Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Social Sciences

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Dampak COVID-19 Terhadap FinTech Lending Di Indonesia: Fakta Dari From Interrupted Time Series Analysis Abdul Khaliq
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 2, Agustus 2021 (pp.243-431)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i02.p01

Abstract

Penelitian ini mengukur dampak pandemi COVID-19 terhadap financial technology (FinTech) lending di Indonesia. Menggunakan data bulanan FinTech yang dipublikasikan oleh Otoritas Jasa Keuangan pada periode 2018M02-2021M04, artikel ini mengukur dampak COVID-19 yang dimulai pada tanggal 2 Maret 2020 terhadap FinTech dengan mengadopsi interrupted time series (ITS) experiment. Estimasi memperlihatkan COVID-19 memiliki dampak negatif pada perubahan level (changes in level) FinTech lending di Indonesia, tetapi perubahan tren (changes in trend) adalah positif. Selanjutnya, COVID-19 berdampak negatif dan secara statistik signifikan terhadap perubahan level Rasio Pinjaman Lancar (s.d. 90 hari). Namun, COVID-19 memberikan efek positif dan secara statistik signifikan pada perubahan level Rasio Pinjaman Macet (>90 hari). Temuan ini merekomendasikan bahwa otoritas jasa keuangan secara intensif mendorong berbagai model baru bisnis FinTech yang inovatif post-COVID19 dalam upaya memperluas inklusi keuangan digital dengan menyediakan pembiayaan bagi masyarakat (P2P) yang tidak tersentuh oleh bank.
PERAN RISET DAN PENGEMBANGAN (R&D) AKADEMIS TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI Abdul Khaliq
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2020: Vol. 13, No. 1, Februari 2020 (pp. 1-210)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (881.548 KB) | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2020.v13.i01.p05

Abstract

Studi ini bertujuan untuk menguji peranan riset dan pengembangan (R&D) di perguruan tinggi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Memanfaatkan data periode 1996-2013 untuk 32 negara maju dan 46 negara berkembang, temuan empiris diestimasi menggunakan analisis panel data statis dan dinamis. Fakta empiris menyatakan bahwa analisis panel data statis dan dinamis mengestimasi secara baik karakteristik riset dan pengembangan (R&D) akademis mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di negara maju dan negara berkembang. Analisis panel data statis berupa fixed effect model (FEM) mengungkapkan peran positif riset dan pengembangan (R&D) akademis terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di negara maju dan negara berkembang. Lebih lanjut, analisis panel data dinamis menemukan konsistensi efek positif riset dan pengembangan (R&D) akademis pada pertumbuhan ekonomi negara maju, namun riset dan pengembangan (R&D) akademis memberikan efek negatif pada pertumbuhan ekonomi negara berkembang. Berdasarkan temuan ini, studi merekomendasikan negara berkembang khususnya Indonesia untuk fokus pada riset dan pengembangan (R&D) akademis dengan mengkomersialkan temuan baru untuk menarik industri sehingga mampu mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi dan meningkatkan daya saing bangsa.
Efek Kebijakan Moneter Terhadap Return Harga Emas Di Indonesia Abdul Khaliq
Business Management Journal Vol 14, No 1 (2018): Business Management Journal
Publisher : Universitas Bunda Mulia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (795.236 KB) | DOI: 10.30813/bmj.v14i1.1121

Abstract

This studyobserves the short-run and long-run relationship between monetary policies andgold price return movements in Indonesia. Using monthly data over the period 1997M09-2017M10,the empirical findings are carried out by utilizing error correction model (ECM)derived from single quadratic cost function to provide evidence in favor of relationship between nominal effective exchange rate, interest rate, and money supplyand gold price return movements.The empirical evidence suggests that the ECM estimates well characterize how the nominal effective exchange rate relates to the gold price return movements, both in the long-run and short-run. Moreover, money supply and interest rate only have negative and statistically significant effects on price gold return movements in the long run. These results imply that observing nominal effective exchange rate can help predict gold price return movements in Indonesia, which would significantly help monetary authorities in optimizing monetary policy.Keywords    : Gold Price Return, Monetary Policies, Error Correction Model (ECM)
MEKANISME TRANSMISI GONCANGAN HARGA MINYAK DAN HARGA PANGAN DUNIA TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN MAKRO INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE (SVAR) Abdul Khaliq
Business Management Journal Vol 11, No 2 (2015): Business Management Journal
Publisher : Universitas Bunda Mulia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1414.252 KB) | DOI: 10.30813/bmj.v11i2.625

Abstract

This study examines the transmission channels of oil and food price shocks to selected Indonesian macroeconomic variables including Indonesia industrial production index, world interest rate, inflation, domestic interest rate, real effective exchange rate, and Jakarta Composite Index using monthly data over the period 2001M01-2013M08. An empirical analysis is carried out by utilizing structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) framework. Impulse response functions (IRFs) and forecast variance decompositions (FEVDs) are employed to track the impact of oil and food price shock to Indonesian economy. The empirical findings of IRFs suggest that oil price shock negatively affects industrial production, depreciates real effective exchange rate, increases inflation and interest rate, and negatively affects aset price. However, following food price shocks, industrial production increases, depreciates real effective exchange rate, increase stock return. Moreover, inflation and interest rate respond positively following food price shocks. The FEVDs results clearly reveals that the variation in industrial production growth, inflation, interest rate, real effective exchange rate, and aset price due to oil price shock is relatively larger than the food price shocks. This implies that oil price is most important source of disturbances in Indonesian macroeconomy. As a whole, this study recommend that world oil and food price should be considered for policy analysis and forecasting an Indonesian macroeconomy.Key Words : Oil and food price shocks, SVAR, IRFs, FEVDs, Indonesia
Global and Country-Specific Geopolitical Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility: New Empirical Evidence from Indonesia Abdul Khaliq
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2022: Vol. 15, No. 2, Agustus 2022 (pp.162-339)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2022.v15.i02.p05

Abstract

This paper investigates the conditional predictability of geopolitical risks (GPR) on the rupiah-dollar exchange rate volatility, using 447 monthly observations spanning January 1985 to March 2022. The paper utilizes asymmetric GARCH (1,1) combined with various asymmetric GARCH models, including the integrated GARCH (I-GARCH), the exponential GARCH (E-GARCH), and the threshold GARCH (T-GARCH), and the power asymmetric GARCH (A-PARCH). This study finds convincing evidence that GPRI has a consistent effect on exchange rate volatility, either symmetric GARCH models or asymmetric GARCH models. Interestingly, the global geopolitical risks (GPR) heterogeneously affect the exchange rate volatility of Indonesia. These empirical findings imply that the rupiah-dollar exchange rate volatility is more vulnerable to domestic GPRI than global GPR.
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