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Murni Daulay
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI DAYA SAING INDONESIA DALAM MENGHADAPI MASYARAKAT EKONOMI ASEAN Reni Juliana Sagala; Murni Daulay
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 3, No 2 (2015)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to determine how much the influence of Education Support, economic growth, subsidie, and exchange rate to the Competitiveness Level with the opportunities and threat of Indonesia in facing ASEAN Economic Community 2015.The data used in this reasearch is a secondary data in time series from 2001-2014. Data processing methods used by researchers is Regression Analysis by Ordinary Least Square (OLS), in with SPSS 17. Based on the results of analysis show that the independent variable is positive and has significant effect on the Competitiveness of 95.3%. Partially Education Support, Economic Growth, and exchange rate have positive effect on Competitiveness with each keofisien 0.331; 0.540; and 0.366, the variable which has the greatest effect is Economic Growth. While variable subsidies has a negatif effect on the Competitiveness with coefficient is -0.041. This will be one of the threats of Indonesia in facing AEC because it’s consumtive and missed target that foreigner will also use it. Removal and reduction of barriers to free trade as in Blueprint caused the Indonesian market dominated by imports and trade balance deficits. Indonesian Manpower become one of the opportunities and challenges for Indonesia where the skill labor that can compete with foreign labor as the criteria in "Mutual Recognition Agreement (MRA)" according to the agreement of AEC.Keywords : Asean Economic Community (AEC), Competitiveness, Blueprint, Mutual Recognition Agreement (MRA), Opportunities, Threats.
PENGARUH MEA 2015 TERHADAP INTEGRASI PADA SISTEM PERDAGANGAN DI INDONESIA Mutiara Pratiwi; Murni Daulay
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 3, No 4 (2015)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

Formulation of the problem in this study is how to predict the impact of Economic Asean Community 2015 to export and import in economic integration trading system in Indonesia. Purpose of this study is to predict export and import changes influenced by Economic Asean Community 2015 in trading system in Indonesia. Hypothesis of this study is to predict the impact Economic Asean Community 2015 to export and import give positive in economic integration trading system in Indonesia. Method of analysis in this study is multiple logarithmic regression. The result of this study is state that export development give positive influence by Economic Asean Community 2015 in economic integration of trading system in Indonesia, but import is not influence by Economic Asean Community 2015 the economic integration of trading system in Indonesia, that is inconsistent with the hypothesis which states that prediction of import development give positive influence by Economic Asean Community 2015 to economic integration of trading system in Indonesia. This is caused by 5,20% decreation of non oil and gas import value and 6,35% increation of oil and gas import value, including raw oil 25,27%, gas 1,02% and decreation of oil 0,39% from 2012 to 2013.Keywords: Impact of Economic Asean Community 2015, export, import
Co-Authors Mutiara Pratiwi Reni Juliana Sagala