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All Journal SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian
Nadia Oktaviana
Faculty of Agriculture, Gadjah Mada University, Special Region of Yogyakarta
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Perkembangan Luas Lahan Sawah di Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta Abi Pratiwa Siregar; Nadia Oktaviana; Edy Rahmantyo Tarsilohadi
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 14 No 3 (2020): Vol.14, No.3, 2020
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (703.606 KB) | DOI: 10.24843/SOCA.2020.v14.i03.p16

Abstract

In general, the development of agricultural land usage change was illustrated through linear trend analysis without comparing it first with other trend analysis. As a consequence, it was assumed that the data will be in a straight line with a tendency for constant numbers over a period of time. However, the facts on the ground proved that the area of ??agricultural land converted into non-agricultural land was not always the same from year to year. The novelty of this research was to do a comparison between linear and non-linear trends to predict the development of rice fields, so that an accurate forecasting model was obtained. The aim of this research were: 1) knowing the development of rice fields area in the Special Region of Yogyakarta, 2) determining the appropriate forecasting model for the development of rice fields area in the Special Region of Yogyakarta, and 3) forecasting the area of ??rice fields in the Special Region of Yogyakarta. The data that used came from BPS (Central Bureau of Statistics) from 1996 to 2017. The trend models being compared were linear trends, quadratic trends, and exponential trends. The results showed that the area of ??rice fields in the Special Region of Yogyakarta tended to decrease from year to year. The best forecasting model was an exponential trend. In 2017 to 2021, it was estimated that there will be a decrease in rice field area of ??221 hectares or 0.41 percent per year.
The Transformation of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Sectors in the Indonesian Economy Abi Pratiwa Siregar; Edy Rahmantyo Tarsilohadi; Nadia Oktaviana
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 15 No 3 (2021): Vol.15, No.3, 2021
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/SOCA.2021.v15.i03.p09

Abstract

As time goes by, the role of the agriculture, forestry and fisheries sectors in the Indonesian economy tended to decrease. This was inseparable from the development of industrialization and digitalization. However, it was difficult to find studies that provide information on how much this transformation happened, especially at the provincial level. Therefore, this research aims to determine how much the shifting in the agricultural, forestry and fisheries sectors in each province so that describe the sectoral transformations that occurred at the national level. The basic method in this research was descriptive analytical using secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics from 2010 to 2019. The analytical tools that used were Location Quotient (LQ) and Dynamic Location Quotient (DLQ), and shift share analysis. The results showed that more than fifty percent of the total 34 provinces in Indonesia relied on the non-agricultural sector. Nationally, the agriculture, forestry and fisheries sectors ranked fourth after the manufacturing, wholesale and retail industries; auto and motorcycle repair, and construction. In response to this, it was necessary to increase land productivity and increase the capacity of human resources in a sustainable manner. This aimed to maintain food security and prepare human resources to be more skilled in order to adapt to the shifting economic structures.
Co-Authors Abi Pratiwa Siregar Abi Pratiwa Siregar Edy Rahmantyo Tarsilohadi Edy Rahmantyo Tarsilohadi