Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2020 - 2025
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
Mayandah Farmita
UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya
Mathematics

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Forecasting Population of Madiun Regency Using ARIMA Method Yuniar Farida; Mayandah Farmita; Nurissaidah Ulinnuha; Dian Yuliati
CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Vol 7, No 3 (2022): CAUCHY: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN APLIKASI
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18860/ca.v7i3.16156

Abstract

The high population growth of the Madiun Regency can cause population density that can have implications for other problems, both in terms of social, economic, welfare, security, land availability, availability of clean water, and food needs. This study aims to predict the population growth of Madiun Regency using the ARIMA method. The ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method is popular for forecasting time series data, which is reliable because the calculation process is done gradually. This study uses annual population data of Madiun Regency from 1983 to 2021 and produces an ARIMA forecasting model (0,2,1) with a MAPE value of 8.42%. The results of this study are expected to be used as information from the Madiun Regency government in anticipating the emergence of problems caused by the population level of Madiun Regency in the future.
Co-Authors Dian Yuliati Farida, Yuniar