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THE IDENTIFICATION OF STRUCTURAL BREAK AT TIME SERIES DATA ON INDONESIAN ECONOMY 1990Q1-2008Q4: THE APPLICATION OF ZIVOT AND ANDREWS’ EXPERIMENT Mustafa, Rahman Dano
Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business Vol 26, No 3 (2011): September
Publisher : Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (53.374 KB)

Abstract

Before the 1997/1998 economic crisis that enhanced the fluctuation of some Indonesian macroeconomic indicators, Indonesian economic indicators seemed to run quite well as to make it attractive as business destination. The economic turbulence has brought about the enhancement of its macroeconomic indicators fluctuation: the depreciation of Indonesian Rupiah’s exchange rate, the sharp contraction of GDP, the ever-increasing inflation pressure, and the interest rate hike.The objective of this paper is to identify the right timing of the major structural break on Indonesian economy through the application of Zivot and Andrew’s procedure (ZA)(Zivot and Andrews, 1992), with time series data in the period of Q1 1990-Q4 2008. The ZA model empirical test outcome shows that endogenously the significance of structural break for most macroeconomic variables necessitates at least one hypothesis of null unit root that can be rejected for most of the investigated variables. The potential structural break in series (ADF-test) also allows some originally non-stationary-unit contained variables to turn into a stationary ones. These results are statistically significant as the endogenously appropriate break (ZA-test) coexisted with the Indonesian financial-crisis shocks in 1997/1998.Keywords: structural break, unit root test, macroeconomic time series and Indonesian economy
STRATEGI PENINGKATAN PENDAPATAN PEDAGANG KAKI LIMA DI LAPAK MANGGA DUA KOTA TERNATE Marajabessy, Inda Senen; Mustafa, Rahman Dano; Hatim, Fajri
Manis: Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis Vol 7 No 2 (2024): Vol 7 No 2 (2024): MANIS: Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis
Publisher : Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/manis.7.2.103-114

Abstract

ABSTRAK Inda S. Marajabessy. 02031911117. Strategi pendapatan pedagang kaki lima dalam mempertahankan usahanya di Lapak Mangga Dua Kota Ternate. Dengan arahan Komisi Pembimbing: Rahman Dano Mustafa, S.E., M.Sc. selaku Ketua Pembimbing dan Fajri Hatim, S.E., M.Si. selaku anggota pembimbing. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui strategi pedagang kaki lima di Lapak Mangga Dua Kota Ternate, dalam mempertahankan usahanya. Jenis penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode analisis deskriptif dan analisi SWOT, adapun data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data primer, sampel dalam penelitian ini adalah sebanyak 38 orang pedagang kaki lima di Lapak Mangga Dua Kota Ternate. Hasil penelitian ini mengunakan pendapatan usaha pedagang kaki lima di Mangga Dua Rata-rata sebesar 7000.000 lebih dengan / bulan. Kata Kunci: Stretegi, Pendapatan, Pedagang kaki lima