Marlina Widiyanti
Universitas Sriwijaya Palembang

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Analisis Komparasi Keakuratan Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) dan Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) Dalam Memprediksi Return Saham pada Perusahaan Sektor Consumer Goods yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Nurul Izzah Maisyuri; Marlina Widiyanti; Kemas M. Husni Thamrin
Al-Kharaj : Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah Vol 5 No 1 (2023): Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah
Publisher : Research and Strategic Studies Center (Pusat Riset dan Kajian Strategis) Fakultas Syariah IAI Nasional Laa Roiba

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (331.098 KB) | DOI: 10.47467/alkharaj.v5i1.1121

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy of the CAPM and APT models in predicting returns stock of companies in the sector for the consumer goods period 2017 to 2020 listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The population of this study is all issuers of consumer goods stocks for the period January 2017 to December 2020 with a total sample of 23 companies. The selection of data samples in this study was carried out by purposive sampling. The data analysis technique was carried out using the test Mann Whitney. The results of the study and statistical tests showed that the MAPE APT was smaller than the MAPECAPM but the MAD values CAPM and MSECAPM were smaller than the MADAPT and MSEAPT, this means that the CAPM model is more accurate than the APT model because and there is no difference significant accuracy between CAPM and APT in predicting returns stock in the sector for the consumer goods period 2017 to 2020 on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Keywords: Capital Asset Pricing Model, Arbitrage Pricing Theory, Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
Market Reactions to Emergency Community Activity Restrictions Policy Nabila Salsabella; Marlina Widiyanti; Fida Muthia; Isni Andriana
Al-Kharaj : Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah Vol 5 No 4 (2023): Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah 
Publisher : Research and Strategic Studies Center (Pusat Riset dan Kajian Strategis) Fakultas Syariah IAI Nasional Laa Roiba

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (887.193 KB) | DOI: 10.47467/alkharaj.v5i4.1829

Abstract

This research uses the event study method to test the reaction of capital markets before and after the announcement of the Emergency Community Activity Restrictions (PPKM) policy. The observation period includes 7 days before and 7 days after the event. By using purposive sampling method, the research sample amounts to 29 stocks of the hotel, restaurant, and tourism companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The hypothesis is tested with Paired Samples T-Test for those with normal distribution and Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test for those with no normal distribution. The results showed that there was a difference in average trading volume activity. While average abnormal return and average security return variability did not have significant differences around the announcement. This research implies that stock investors need to consider information about government policies or other non-economic events to appropriately sort out relevant information to sell or maintain stocks under the risks and returns expected by investors. Keywords: Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, Security Return Variability, The Emergency PPKM Policy, Event Study