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All Journal JURNAL TEKNIK INFORMATIKA DAN SISTEM INFORMASI
Aprizal Setiawan
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Computer Science & IT

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Aplikasi Prediksi Tingkat Kesembuhan Covid di DKI Jakarta Dengan Metode Exponensial Smoothing Aprizal Setiawan
JATISI (Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi) Vol 8 No 4 (2021): JATISI (Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian pada Masyarakat (LPPM) STMIK Global Informatika MDP

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35957/jatisi.v8i4.1104

Abstract

During the Covid-19 pandemic, many attempts have been made to predict cases of additional patients, deaths and other medical indicators using various methods. Several forecast projects as well as predictions have influenced policies in several regions including DKI Jakarta. However, forecasts or predictions for the Covid-19 pandemic are uncertain. On this occasion, I predicted the cure for Covid-19 using the Exponential Smoothing method. This method is a moving average forecasting method that gives weight exponentially or stratified to the data, so that the latest data will get a greater weight. The monitoring results obtained from this study amounted to 0.89 or 89% for the cure rate and 0.64 or 64% for the mortality rate. With this method, it can make it easier to see the progress of the Covid-19 cure rate.
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