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All Journal Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Resi Yunita
Universitas Negeri Padang
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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PENGARUH FLUKTUASI HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI INDONESIA Resi Yunita; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 3, No 4 (2021): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v3i4.12382

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of fluctuations in world oil prices on Indonesian macroeconomic variables. The data used in this study is time series data from 1987 to 2019 taken from the World Bank, the Central Statistics Agency and FRED Economic Data. This study is a quantitative study using secondary data and the VAR/VECM analysis model. The results show that fluctuations in world oil prices are only significant in the long term while in the short term fluctuations in world oil prices have insignificant effects on inflation, economic growth and impacts. This shows that world oil prices have a significant influence on Indonesia's macroeconomic variables in the long run.
Pengaruh Harga Minyak dan Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Resi Yunita; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 4 (2022): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v4i4.14063

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of world oil prices and inflation on economic growth in Indonesia. The type of data used is time series data from 1987 to 2020 taken from FRED Economic Data, the World Bank and the Central Statistics Agency. This type of research is descriptive and associative research. The data analysis used is descriptive analysis and inductive analysis. Stationarity test is one of the tests used in inductive analysis; (2) Cointegration Test; (3) Multiple Linear Regression Test and Error Correction Model (ECM); (4) Classical Assumption Test; (5) T test and F test. The results of this study reveal that: (1) world oil prices (X1) have an insignificant negative effect on economic growth (Y1) in Indonesia in the long term and in the short term world oil prices (X1) have an insignificant negative effect on economic growth (Y1) in the long term. positive and significant to economic growth (Y1) in Indonesia; (2) inflation (X2) has an insignificant negative effect on economic growth (Y1) in Indonesia in the long term while in the short term inflation (X2) has an insignificant negative effect on economic growth (Y1) in Indonesia.
Co-Authors Yeniwati Yeniwati