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Re-running Eligibility on Fiscal Spending Behavior: Evidence from Indonesian Municipalities Setyo Hari Priyono; Prani Sastiono
Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning Vol. 3 No. 1 (2019): April 2019
Publisher : Ministry of National Development Planning Republic of Indonesia/Bappenas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (394.023 KB) | DOI: 10.36574/jpp.v3i1.62

Abstract

This study focuses on the difference in spending policy behavior between regions having re-running incumbents in the 2015 election and regions that have the last-period incumbent. Hypothetically, re-runner incumbents would try to enhance their re-election probability by increasing their targeted expenditures in the times leading to the election time; in contrary, the last-period incumbents will do the opposite. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) cross-sectional data has been used to analyze the politicians’ behavior on fiscal spending policy for 237 municipalities. The study result shows that there is no difference in behaviour between regions having re-running incumbent and regions that have a last-period incumbent. Compared to regions with lame ducks, grant expenditure tends to be higher on election year in regions having a re-running incumbent. There is also a tendency that the higher grant expenditure in the year prior to the election, the lower grant expenditure during an election year in those regions.
Dampak Penyakit Kronis Terhadap Peluang Terjadinya Kerentanan Pada Rumah Tangga Di Indonesia Dita Desriani; Prani Sastiono
JURNAL ILMIAH EDUNOMIKA Vol 7, No 1 (2023): EDUNOMIKA : Vol. 07, No. 01, 2023
Publisher : ITB AAS Indonesia Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/jie.v7i1.6629

Abstract

Welfare and health analysis in developed countries is the primary focus of various policies. The poor population health due to chronic diseases emerges as a vulnerability and threat to the country's economic stability. One of the chronic diseases that causes the highest global morbidity and mortality is hypertension. The burden or costs incurred due to hypertension are not only suffered by the patients but also for other household members, including paying for medical expenses. Thus, this study aims to estimate vulnerability due to hypertension using the vulnerability of expected poverty (VEP) method. This study employed data from the fourth and fifth waves of IFLS. The VEP calculation was done using the three-step feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) method. The results showed that households with hypertension tended to have lower consumption expectations than households without hypertension. Therefore, hypertension significantly increases household vulnerability in the future. Keywords : Health condition, poor household, vulnerability of expected poverty, three-step feasible generalized least squares (FGLS)