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Population Migration and The Challenges of Economic Growth in North Sumatera in Year (1988-2020) Zulkarnain Nasution; Muhammad Ali Al Ihsan
Journal of Social Science Vol. 2 No. 3 (2021): Journal of Social Science
Publisher : Syntax Corporation Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46799/jss.v2i3.137

Abstract

Population increase has the impact on demographic transition (changes in population structure). Indonesia is entering the demographic bonus period, there is the increase in the percentage of the working age population. According to theory, population can affect economic growth (in this study the effect on gross domestic product or GDP). One of the demographic components that affect population composition is population mobility or migration. This study used migration, risk migration and dependency ratios to show the latest patterns / trends of population mobility (last 20 years). The results showed that the variables in this study had a positive and negative effect on GDP growth. Of the three variables, the greatest influence is given by percentage of dependency ratio variable. The results of this study showed that migration and risk migration had negative impact on economic growth while the dependency ratio had a positive impact on economic growth. North Sumatra must be optimistic to increase economic growth by utilizing components that can boost the economy and one of them is the dependency ratio.
Population Migration and The Challenges of Economic Growth in North Sumatera in Year (1988-2020) Zulkarnain Nasution; Muhammad Ali Al Ihsan
Journal of Social Science Vol. 2 No. 3 (2021): Journal of Social Science
Publisher : Syntax Corporation Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (436.041 KB) | DOI: 10.46799/jss.v2i3.137

Abstract

Population increase has the impact on demographic transition (changes in population structure). Indonesia is entering the demographic bonus period, there is the increase in the percentage of the working age population. According to theory, population can affect economic growth (in this study the effect on gross domestic product or GDP). One of the demographic components that affect population composition is population mobility or migration. This study used migration, risk migration and dependency ratios to show the latest patterns / trends of population mobility (last 20 years). The results showed that the variables in this study had a positive and negative effect on GDP growth. Of the three variables, the greatest influence is given by percentage of dependency ratio variable. The results of this study showed that migration and risk migration had negative impact on economic growth while the dependency ratio had a positive impact on economic growth. North Sumatra must be optimistic to increase economic growth by utilizing components that can boost the economy and one of them is the dependency ratio.
FACTORS INFLUENCING GREEN ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT IN LAKE TOBA TOURISM AREA Zulkarnain Nasution; Aziddin Harahap
Multidisciplinary Indonesian Center Journal (MICJO) Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Vol. 3 No. 1 Edisi Januari 2026
Publisher : PT. Jurnal Center Indonesia Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62567/micjo.v3i1.1490

Abstract

The development of a green economy is a strategic issue in realizing sustainable development, especially in potential areas such as Lake Toba. However, the role of socio-cultural factors in supporting the green economy has not been extensively researched empirically. This study aims to analyze the influence of Community Awareness, Environmental Knowledge, and Local Cultural Beauty on Green Economic Development in the Lake Toba area. The method used is a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis techniques with the help of SPSS software version 25. Data were obtained from questionnaires distributed to local respondents The results of the study showed that Community Awareness and Environmental Knowledge did not have a significant effect on the green economy, while the Beauty of Local Culture had a significant effect. The value of the determination coefficient (R²) of 0.4053 indicates that the three variables explain the 40.5% variation in the development of the green economy. These findings confirm the importance of a cultural approach in supporting the sustainability of the Lake Toba region.