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All Journal Jurnal Sains Teh dan Kina IKRA-ITH EKONOMIKA Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Cendekia Niaga
Aziza Rahmaniar Salam
Peneliti pada Pusat Kebijakan Perdagangan Luar Negeri, Badan Pengkajian dan Pengembangan Kebijakan Perdagangan, Kementerian Perdagangan
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Mechanical Engineering Social Sciences Other

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 1 
Tea Import Policy Recommendation Salam, Aziza Rahmaniar
Jurnal Penelitian Teh dan Kina Vol 17, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Research Institute for Tea and Cinchona

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (195.247 KB) | DOI: 10.22302/pptk.jur.jptk.v17i1.2

Abstract

This paper analyzes a posibility of a proposed policy on the importation of tea that can increase performance and competitiveness of Indonesia tea. The method used was pros­pective analysis method. The analysis revealed that the proposed policy is to increase import duty tariffs and non-tariff barriers. Policies proposed on non-tariff barriers are import controls by constructive a regulation on pro­duct importer, Indonesian packaging label, and certain importers for importation of tea as an ingredient and formulation on technical verification (VPTI) for all importation of tea products containing specified information in maximum crude fiber content of 15% and minimum of 33% extract in water (w/w) as indicated in SNI.
ESTIMASI PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA DAN INDIA Trade Estimation Of Indonesia And India Jati, Kumara; Salam, Aziza Rahmaniar
IKRA-ITH EKONOMIKA Vol 2 No 2 (2019): IKRAITH-EKONOMIKA vol 2 Nomor 2 Bulan Juli 2019
Publisher : Universitas Persada Indonesia YAI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (577.461 KB)

Abstract

ABSTRAKArtikel ini mengkaji estimasi perdagangan Indonesia dan India. Perdagangan terdiri dari ekspor dan imporyang seharusnya mempertimbangkan keadaan seasonal dan irregularity dari data yang ada. Structural Time-Series Model (STSM) dari perdagangan Indonesia dan India memperlihatkan bahwa estimasi volume dan nilaiperdagangan migas dan non-migas Indonesia dan India relatif stabil dengan kecenderungan meningkat.Pemangku kebijakan perdagangan seharusnya bisa memberikan fokus yang lebih kepada pola seasonalperdagangan dimana terjadi fluktuasi perdagangan pada bulan-bulan tertentu serta penurunan perdagangan ditahun 2014 dan 2016. Hal ini bisa diantisipasi oleh otoritas terkait dengan cara melakukan perbaikaninfrastruktur perdagangan serta peningkatan komitmen perjanjian perdagangan yang lebih komprehensif antaraIndonesia dan India.
FUNDAMENTALS OF INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL BANK IN MACROECONOMIC AND SHARIA PERSPECTIVE IN INDONESIA Jati, Kumara; Salam, Aziza Rahmaniar
Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Vol 3 No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (3847.788 KB) | DOI: 10.21098/jimf.v3i2.895

Abstract

This research analyses the fundamentals of integrated commercial bank in macroeconomic and sharia perspective in Indonesia. Based on the calculation of Vector Autoregression (VAR), the impact of macroeconomic variables (Jakarta Stock Islamic Index / JKSII, Indonesian Stock Price Composite Index / JKSE, Crude Oil Price, and Exchange Rate) on stock prices of commercial banks vary. These shocks indicate an indirect price transmission through exchange rate channels and economic growth. From the Structrural Time Series Model (STSM), JKSII, JKSE, and commercial bank share price prediction will generally increase at the end of 2017 and 2018. This will generate hope and benefit for policy maker and business actors in the banking, finance and sharia sectors. In general, the ARMA-ARCH/GARCH model with dummy variables found negative impact of “Fasting Period and Eid Al-Fitr” on return of JKSII, JKSE, and commercial bank stock price. This indicates a cycle of stock price decline that occurs when consumers spend more money to purchase goods and services. However, this cycle of stock price declines is only temporary because the recovery of the world economy and the increase in demand for goods and services in the future can be a pull factor for stock prices (demand factor). Policy makers and stakeholders related to the financial system, banking and capital markets, especially the sharia sector need to see the movement of conventional bank stocks and “Fasting Period and Eid Al-Fitr” as they move in the opposite direction for a certain period.
Governance and Accountability of Macroeconomic Variables in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and India Using Three Models Jati, Kumara; Salam, Aziza Rahmaniar
Cendekia Niaga Vol. 5 No. 1 (2021): Cendekia Niaga
Publisher : Pusat Pengembangan Kompetensi Aparatur Perdagangan

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Abstract

Abstract Fluctuation in macroeconomics variables has given a difficulty to interested parties to implement good governance and appropriate accountability to accelerate sustainable development. This is a research to understand how to maintain stability of macroeconomic variables and its relations with partner countries. This study takes the examples of three major countries in Asia, Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand (IMT), and India. Moreover, public sector openness and public administration need to facilitate information disclosure and increased cooperation between countries. Based on VAR model, the shock effect of macroeconomic variables (exchange rates, interest rates and foreign exchange reserves) vary each other. The existence of shock indicates the transmission among variables indirectly through intermediate channel, such as: capital, commodity and money market between 4 countries. Model ARMA-ARCH/GARCH and STSM shows macroeconomic variables in IMT and India will be relatively maintained and stable in 2022. Good governance should be based on principles of accountability, innovation, integration, and collaboration. Economic structure similarity and diplomatic relations established for decades have made IMT and India able to help each other to facilitated information disclosure and increased cooperation between the countries. However, the presence of shock from outside remains to be watched out as the global changes can disrupt the sustainable development. Abstrak Fluktuasi variable ekonomi makro telah memberikan kesulitan bagi pihak yang berkepentingan untuk menerapkan Tata Kelola yang baik dan Akuntabilitas yang tepat untuk mempercepat pembangunan berkelanjutan. Ini adalah penelitian untuk memahami bagaimana menjaga stabilitas variable ekonomi makro dan hubungannya dengan negara-negara mitra. Studi ini mengambil contoh tiga negara utama di Asia, Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand (IMT) dan India. Selain itu, keterbukaan sektor publik dan administrasi public perlu memfasilitasi keterbukaan informasi dan peningkatan kerjasama antar negara. Berdasarkan model Vector AutoRegression (VAR), Shok variable ekonomi makro (nilai tukar, suku bunga dan cadangan devisa) bervariasi satu sama lain. Keberadaan shok menunjukkan adanya transmisi antar variable secara tidak langsung melalui saluran perantara, seperti: pasar modal, pasar komoditas dan pasar uang antara 4 negara. Model ARMA-ARCH/GARCH dan Struktural Time-Series Model (STSM) menunjukkan bahwa variable ekonomi makro di IMT dan India akan relatif dapat dipertahankan dan stabil pada tahun 2022. Tata Kelola yang baik harus didasarkan pada prinsip-prinsip akuntabilitas, inovasi, integrasi, dan kolaborasi. Kemiripan struktur ekonomi dan hubungan diplomatik yang dibangun selama beberapa decade telah membuat IMT dan India dapat saling membantu untuk memfasilitasi pengungkapan informasi dan peningkatan kerjasama antar negara. Namun, keberadaan shok dari luar masih harus diwaspadai karena perubahan global dapat mengganggu pembangunan berkelanjutan.
FUNDAMENTALS OF INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL BANK IN MACROECONOMIC AND SHARIA PERSPECTIVE IN INDONESIA Jati, Kumara; Salam, Aziza Rahmaniar
Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Vol. 3 No. 2 (2018)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21098/jimf.v3i2.895

Abstract

This research analyses the fundamentals of integrated commercial bank in macroeconomic and sharia perspective in Indonesia. Based on the calculation of Vector Autoregression (VAR), the impact of macroeconomic variables (Jakarta Stock Islamic Index / JKSII, Indonesian Stock Price Composite Index / JKSE, Crude Oil Price, and Exchange Rate) on stock prices of commercial banks vary. These shocks indicate an indirect price transmission through exchange rate channels and economic growth. From the Structrural Time Series Model (STSM), JKSII, JKSE, and commercial bank share price prediction will generally increase at the end of 2017 and 2018. This will generate hope and benefit for policy maker and business actors in the banking, finance and sharia sectors. In general, the ARMA-ARCH/GARCH model with dummy variables found negative impact of “Fasting Period and Eid Al-Fitr” on return of JKSII, JKSE, and commercial bank stock price. This indicates a cycle of stock price decline that occurs when consumers spend more money to purchase goods and services. However, this cycle of stock price declines is only temporary because the recovery of the world economy and the increase in demand for goods and services in the future can be a pull factor for stock prices (demand factor). Policy makers and stakeholders related to the financial system, banking and capital markets, especially the sharia sector need to see the movement of conventional bank stocks and “Fasting Period and Eid Al-Fitr” as they move in the opposite direction for a certain period.
Co-Authors Jati, Kumara