Diny Ghuzini
Fakultas Ekonomika Dan Bisnis, Universitas Gadjah Mada

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Ketimpangan pendidikan dan pendapatan serta pengaruhnya terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerah tertinggal, terdepan dan terluar (3T) Riyadi Riyadi; Diny Ghuzini
Jurnal Kependudukan Indonesia Vol 16, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Research Centre for Population, National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14203/jki.v16i2.593

Abstract

Inequality is one of the urgent issues, especially in the least developed, frontier, and outermost regions (3T) in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze education and income inequality and their effects on economic growth in the 3T regions in Indonesia. This study uses data from Susenas Kor and other publications by Statistics Indonesia in 2015-2017. The unit of analysis of this study is 142 districts/municipalities of the 3T regions. The results show that education inequality in the 3T regions can be categorized as a low inequality. In contrast, income inequality is classified as moderate inequality with a declining trend over the observation period. Education inequality is generally higher in rural areas and among the female population, while income inequality is higher in urban areas and among the male population. It is also shown that education inequality has a negative effect on economic growth, while income inequality has a positive effect on economic growth in the 3T regions. Policy recommendations that can be given are the provision of free formal and non-formal education and targeted education in remote areas. Regarding income inequality, the government should expand job opportunities, increase skills, and support micro, small and medium enterprises through training, business capital assistance and marketing assistance.
Leading Indicators of Tax Revenue: Does Government Spending Matter? Artidiatun Adji; Diny Ghuzini
Journal of Applied Accounting and Taxation Vol. 9 No. 2 (2024): Journal of Applied Accounting and Taxation (JAAT)
Publisher : Pusat P2M Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jaat.v9i2.7579

Abstract

Indonesia's tax ratio has shown a declining trend over the past fifteen years. Tax revenue is an essential component in the provision of public goods and services. Therefore, it is vital to empirically examine the leading indicators that determine tax revenues. One of the concepts underlying the determination of tax revenue is the spend-tax hypothesis. This hypothesis states that the fiscal authority will determine the level of government spending and tax revenues will be targeted accordingly. The objective of this study is to empirically examine the leading indicators of aggregate tax revenues and its components and whether government spending is a determinant. In developing the estimated model, this study utilizes existing literature and the results of focused group discussions conducted with the Directorate General of Budget, Indonesian Ministry of Finance. This study utilizes monthly data to be more accurate in identifying trend changes and to get better estimates for strategic long-term forecasting, as required by fiscal authorities. To capture information affecting tax revenue and to overcome spurious regression, this study uses Partial Adjustment and Autoregressive Models. Those are consistent with the nature of determination of government budget in Indonesia which considers the values of past variables. The estimates show that government expenditure is an essential variable affecting tax revenue and its components, implying that government spending encourages economic activity. Since government spending is the dominant variable in affecting tax revenue and its components, expansionary fiscal policy can be implemented to increase total tax revenue and its components.
Exchange rate responses to macroeconomic announcement on the COVID-19 pandemic Rahmatullah, Dedy; Ghuzini, Diny
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 26 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24914/jeb.v26i1.4868

Abstract

This study examines the effects of macroeconomic announcements on the USD/IDR exchange rate before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, and the difference between the impact of positive and negative announcements on the exchange rate. To measure the macroeconomic announcement, a surprise component is used, that is the difference between actual data and market forecasts. The data in this research are daily time series from 1 January 2014 to 30 November 2020. The actual data and market forecasts for each indicator are obtained from Bloomberg. To test the exchange rate response to the macroeconomic announcement, the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) analysis method is used with heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC). This study finds that during the COVID-19 pandemic, the USD/IDR exchange rate is more sensitive to the surprise component of the macroeconomic announcement compared to the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. This research also finds evidence that positive Indonesian news and negative US news have a significant effect on changes in the USD/IDR exchange rate.
EMPLOYMENT CONDITION, THE EFFECTS OF HUSBAND’S OCCUPATION, AND EDUCATION ON PARTICIPATION OF MARRIED WOMEN IN THE INDONESIAN LABOR MARKET Muhammad Rizqon Agusta; Diny Ghuzini
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol. 28 No. 2 (2020): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : BRIN Publishing (Penerbit BRIN)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14203/JEP.28.2.2020.145-155

Abstract

A previous study has shown that households with both the head and the spouse joining the labor force tend to exit from poverty. In Indonesia, women that actively participated in labor market were relatively small, only around 50% in 2017. Meanwhile, most of the women in Indonesia were married in 2017. A husband was one of the factors affecting their wife’s decision to participate in labor market. This study investigates married women’s employment conditions and the effects of husband’s occupation and education on their labor market participation. The research sample consists of women aged 15-year-old and above, married, and living with their husband. We found that the higher the husband’s education, the lower married women’s probability of participating in the labor market. Husbands with an informal occupation increased married women’s probability to be in the labor force.