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Sulthon Sjahril Sabaruddin
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Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Perdagangan Indonesia di Kawasan Amerika Latin Sulthon Sjahril Sabaruddin
Agregat: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 1 No. 2 (2017): September
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Prof. DR HAMKA.

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (766.879 KB)

Abstract

This study tries to identify what factors influence the trade relations of Indonesia in Latin America with the approach of gravity model. The results of multiple regression analysis indicate that there are 4 (four) variables that affect the trade performance are: GDP Latin American countries, ex colonial countries of the Netherlands (ie Suriname), the existence of the Embassy and Latin AmericanEmbassy in Indonesia, as well as the number of MoU have positive effect on bilateral trade performance.From the results of the analysis can be concluded the initial expectation that the geographical distance into one of the obstacles in improving the trade relations of the Latin-American Republic to be less precise. In contrast, historical and emotional closeness factors appear to positively affect the trade relations between Indonesia and Latin America. This can be seen from Suriname, as a former colony of the Netherlands have a positive influence on trade relations between Indonesia and Suriname. In addition, the existence of the Embassy in Latin American countries and Latin American Embassy in Indonesia have a positive effect on the performance of RI-Latin America trade relations.
SIMULASI DAMPAK LIBERALISASI PERDAGANGAN BILATERAL RI-YAMAN TERHADAPPEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA DAN YAMAN: SEBUAH PENDEKATAN SMART MODEL Sulthon Sjahril Sabaruddin
Jurnal Organisasi dan Manajemen Vol. 13 No. 1 (2017)
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Terbuka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33830/jom.v13i1.31.2017

Abstract

This paper is intended to evaluate the impact of Indonesia's trade liberalization with Yemen on the Indonesian economy. In order to evaluate the impact of the Indonesian economy, we analyzed it through the analysis method of Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART) model. The result of the analysis, the scenario of the impact of trade liberalization of RI-Yemen on the economy of Indonesia with complete tariff dismantlement, by utilizing the analysis of consumer surplus change, the change of import and export, and the change of tariff income can be concluded that the liberalization of RI-Yaman trade with zero tariff has very positive impact to the economy Indonesia and quite positively to the Yemeni economy. This passage is a form of anticipation of possible policy changes when the political, economic and security situation in Yemen has recovered. Tulisan ini dimaksudkan untuk mengevaluasi dampak liberalisasi perdagangan Indonesia dengan Yaman terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Guna mengevaluasi dampak yang ditimbulkan terhadap perekonomian Indonesia, dianalisis melalui pendekatan metode analisis model Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART). Hasil analisis skenario dampak liberalisasi perdagangan RI-Yaman terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dengan complete tariff dismantlement, dengan memanfaatkan analisa perubahan consumer surplus, perubahan impor dan ekspor, serta perubahan pendapatan tarif dapat disimpulkan bahwa liberalisasi perdagangan RI-Yaman dengan nol tarif berdampak sangat positif terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dan cukup positif terhadap perekonomian Yaman. Telahaan ini merupakan bentuk antisipasi kemungkinan perubahan kebijakan manakala situasi politik, ekonomi, dan keamanan di Yaman telah pulih kembali.
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