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Sulastri Surono
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Environmental Science Public Health Social Sciences

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Analisis Faktor – faktor yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi dan Produksi Gula Menuju Swasembada Gula 2019 Riris Puspitosari, Rosita; Surono, Sulastri
Jurnal Kebijakan Ekonomi
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Sugar is a strategic food commodity which is targeted to reach self-sufficiency in 2019 although there are many problems in the Indonesian sugar industry. Sugar self-sufficiency can be realized if domestic sugar production is able to fulfill domestic sugar demand. This study analyzes the factors that influence consumption and production of Indonesian sugar and their implications for the 2019 sugar self-sufficiency target. For white sugar, the estimation using the simultaneous equation system resulted that domestic consumption for white sugar was positively affected by previous year's consumption and domestic production of white sugar was positively affected by sugarcane area and negatively affected by the national sugar price in the previous year. For refined sugar, the estimation using multiple linear regression showed that domestic production for refined sugar is positively affected by the maximum production capacity of refined sugar mills and volume of import raw sugar. Production of refined sugar mills negatively affected by the Rupiah/US$ exchange rate. The consumption for refined sugar is positively affected by the number of population. The projection shows that the sugar self-sufficiency target in 2019 has not been fulfilled. Nonetheless, the policy of increasing land area, determining the amount of HPP that increases every year and controlling the price of sugar need to be done to increase production and reduce imports. Keyword: Self Sufficiency, Consumption, Production
Analisis Faktor – faktor yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi dan Produksi Gula Menuju Swasembada Gula 2019 Puspitosari, Rosita Riris; Surono, Sulastri
Jurnal Kebijakan Ekonomi Vol. 15, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Sugar is a strategic food commodity which is targeted to reach self-sufficiency in 2019 although there are many problems in the Indonesian sugar industry. Sugar self-sufficiency can be realized if domestic sugar production is able to fulfill domestic sugar demand. This study analyzes the factors that influence consumption and production of Indonesian sugar and their implications for the 2019 sugar self-sufficiency target. For white sugar, the estimation using the simultaneous equation system resulted that domestic consumption for white sugar was positively affected by previous year's consumption and domestic production of white sugar was positively affected by sugarcane area and negatively affected by the national sugar price in the previous year. For refined sugar, the estimation using multiple linear regression showed that domestic production for refined sugar is positively affected by the maximum production capacity of refined sugar mills and volume of import raw sugar. Production of refined sugar mills negatively affected by the Rupiah/US$ exchange rate. The consumption for refined sugar is positively affected by the number of population. The projection shows that the sugar self-sufficiency target in 2019 has not been fulfilled. Nonetheless, the policy of increasing land area, determining the amount of HPP that increases every year and controlling the price of sugar need to be done to increase production and reduce imports.
Kebijakan Swasembada Gula di Indonesia Surono, Sulastri
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Indonesia was the 2nd largest exporter of sugar after Cuba in 1930 but we became the 2nd largest importer of sugar on 1999. The goverrzment launched protection and promotion policy to save the sugar industry since 2000. Protection policy is practiced by imposing some import tariffs while government promoted Increase in Acceleration of National Sugar Production Program since 2002. The goal is to reach sugar self sufficiency for household consumption on 2007 and for both household and industry consumption on 2009. There are some basic things which notes the importance of sugar self sufficiency in Indonesia. First, maintain food sustainability. Second, to maximize sugar industry capacity that is quite big. Third, to develop domestic sugar industry which we presume can meet the national consumption needs. Fourth, to save our reserve that is used to import sugar and to protect domestic sugar industry in the unhealthylunfair glohal competition. The purpose of this study is to reveal and to measure the possibility of the government self sufficiency program to success by examining the relationship of production capacity, consumption level, sugar import level.
Co-Authors Puspitosari, Rosita Riris Riris Puspitosari, Rosita