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Syarif Hidayat
Al Azhar Indonesia University
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Transportation

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Fuzzy Reasoning House of Risk to Manage Supply Chain Risk in Wooden Toys Industries Widya Nurcahayanty Tanjung; Selma Himawan; Syarif Hidayat; Endang Ripmiatin; Selvy Sekar Asti; Ratu Siti Khodijah; Saaras Ayu Atikah
International Journal of Supply Chain Management Vol 8, No 5 (2019): International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM)
Publisher : International Journal of Supply Chain Management

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Abstract

An unexpected event in the supply chain will disturb material flow and activities in the whole. The occurrence of such interference would have caused losses at time and cost. In order to anticipate this situation, it needs proper supply chain risk management. Research was done in wooden toy industry case study which has wide marketing range. Fuzzy Reasoning House of Risk (FRHOR) are used to solved the problem. FRHOR is combination of fuzzy reasoning risk assessment model and house of risk. House of Risk Method is used to identify the most potential risk agents, while the fuzzy reasoning risk assessment model is used to determine the risk severity by risk agents. Based on the analysis, it is found that risk agent stock out of the product is the most potential risk agent. To reduce the impact, recommended mitigation strategies that can be used for stock out product risk agents in werehouse are flexible supply base, safety stock, internal coordination, as well as create and control production schedules.
Agent Based Modeling for Investment and Operational Risk Considerations in Palm Oil Supply Chain Syarif Hidayat; Ms. Marimin
International Journal of Supply Chain Management Vol 3, No 1 (2014): International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM)
Publisher : International Journal of Supply Chain Management

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Abstract

In palm oil supply chain (POSC) the investment and operational risk levels between the actors may not be proportionately rewarded by the same levels of added value. However, each actor will attempt to obtain the highest reward. In this study the authors designed a model to simulate the interaction and negotiation behaviors of the actors, and to facilitate optimum distribution of the added value, while considering the successive investment and operational risk levels. Agent-based modeling approach was used for this purpose as it provided the best means to identify and study the supply chain actors (or agents) behaviors. Netlogo software was used to develop the program. This study is important because the model can facilitate further development of various formula to calculate the fair distribution of added value among the actors, therefore ensure the supply chain sustainability. The result of this study indicated that the negotiation between all actors in POSC need to consider overall supply chain sustainability while conducting pairwise negotiation, otherwise the supply chain continuity may be endangered. Keywords - Value added, Palm Oil Supply Chain, business negotiation, Agent Based Modeling, Netlogo software.
Co-Authors Marimin , Ratu Siti Khodijah Ripmiatin, Endang Saaras Ayu Atikah Selma Himawan Selvy Sekar Asti Widya Nurcahayanty Tanjung