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All Journal Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC)
Sarinem Sarinem
Universitas Islam Darul Ulum Lamongan
Computer Science & IT Education Mathematics

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PERAMALAN PENYEBARAN JUMLAH KASUS VIRUS EBOLA DI GUINEA DENGAN METODE ARIMA Novita Eka Chandra; Sarinem Sarinem
Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC) Vol 2 No 1 (2016): Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science
Publisher : Mathematics Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Unisda Lamongan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1368.272 KB) | DOI: 10.52166/ujmc.v2i1.447

Abstract

Ebola virus can cause death. The spread number of cases of this virus is very rapidly, especially in the Guinea of West Africa. Based on the past data, the spread number of cases of ebola virus can be predicted by the method of time series namely ARIMA method. In this study the researcher used 63 cases of ebola virus. By using ARIMA method, it was found that an appropriate model for the spread of ebola virus cases is ARIMA(0,2,3). Based on the model, the spread number of cases of ebola virus can be predictedfor the next 13 periods, with the result that the spread number of cases of ebola virus has decreased from period to period.
Co-Authors Novita Eka Chandra, Novita Eka