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All Journal Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC)
Dwi Hilda Anjasari
Universitas PGRI Banyuwangi
Computer Science & IT Education Mathematics

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METODE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING HOLT-WINTERS UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN NUSANTARA DI KABUPATEN BANYUWANGI Feby Indriana Yusuf; Dwi Hilda Anjasari
Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science (UJMC) Vol 4 No 2 (2018): Unisda Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science
Publisher : Mathematics Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Unisda Lamongan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (239.717 KB) | DOI: 10.52166/ujmc.v4i2.1107

Abstract

Forecasting is how to predict future event by considering the past data. This research aims to determine the results of the comparison of forecasting the number of domestic tourists in Banyuwangi by triple exponential smoothing method of Holt-Winters multiplicative and additive models in order to obtain the best model. The data used in this research is the number of domestic tourists in Banyuwangi period January 2010 to March 2018. The results showed that forecasting by the triple exponential smoothing method of multiplicative models with a smoothing constant α = 0.18; γ = 0.03 and β = 0.1 obtained the smallest value of MAPE and MSE.
Co-Authors Feby Indriana Yusuf