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All Journal Jurnal Litbang Sukowati : Media Penelitian dan Pengembangan
Dyah Makutaning Dewi
Badan Pusat Statistik Republik Indonesia (BPS RI)
Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Social Sciences

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ANALISIS PERAMALAN HARGA EMAS DI INDONESIA PADA MASA PANDEMI COVID-19 UNTUK INVESTASI Dyah Makutaning Dewi; Muhammad Zaky Nafi'; Nasrudin Nasrudin
Jurnal Litbang Sukowati : Media Penelitian dan Pengembangan Vol 5 No 2 (2022): Vol. 5 No. 2, Mei 2022
Publisher : Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan, Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Kabupaten Sragen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32630/sukowati.v5i2.235

Abstract

Pandemic Coronavirus Disease-2019 (Covid-19) is an unusual occurrence. The Covid-19 makes people hesitant to invest. This is because the world economy is not in good condition.  Gold investment is one of the safest investments during the Covid-19 pandemic. The precious metal is widely chosen because the majority of the public is familiar with gold and easy to reach. In addition, because the price of gold tends to be stable and rarely inhabits the price drop, it is actually currently experiencing an increase in the price in a short time. One way to know the picture of gold price in Indonesia so that people are interested in investing in precious metals is to do forecasting using ARIMA Box-Jenkins method. The purpose of this research is to obtain gold price predictions in Indonesia over the next 30 days. The results of the analysis showed that ARIMA model (1,1,1) so that it can be concluded that the gold price prediction of the next 30 days continues to increase with the percentage of training data errors by 1,005 percent and the validation of the forecast from testing data by 3,93 percent.
Co-Authors Muhammad Zaky Nafi' Nasrudin