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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Manajemen Indonesia
siti nurjannah
Universitas Negeri Jakarta
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi Pangan, Pendapatan Per Kapita, dan Tingkat Kemiskinan Terhadap Ketahanan Pangan di Indonesia Tahun 2019-2023 Nurul Latifah; Tuty Sariwulan; Siti Nurjannah
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Manajemen Indonesia Vol. 2 No. 2 (2026): JULI-DESEMBER
Publisher : Indo Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/1k951q49

Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of food inflation, per capita income, and poverty on food security across 34 provinces in Indonesia during the 2019–2023 period. A quantitative approach was employed using panel data regression analysis with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The study utilized secondary data obtained from the National Food Agency and Statistics Indonesia. The partial analysis indicates that food inflation has a negative but insignificant effect on food security. This finding suggests that rising food prices tend to reduce people's access to food; however, the impact is not statistically significant. This result is consistent with global evidence showing that increases in food prices may exacerbate food insecurity, although in Indonesia the impact appears to be mitigated by food price stabilization policies and social protection programs. Per capita income has a negative and significant effect on food security. This finding indicates that increases in average income have not been distributed evenly across the population, thereby limiting their contribution to improving overall food security. In contrast, the Food Poverty Line has a positive and significant effect on food security, indicating that greater purchasing power to meet the minimum food requirement of 2,100 kcal per capita per day contributes to improved food security. This result is consistent with previous studies showing that a substantial proportion of the population in developing countries has not yet achieved the minimum recommended calorie intake. Simultaneously, food inflation, per capita income, and the Food Poverty Line have a significant effect on food security, with a coefficient of determination of 90.48%. These findings suggest that improving food security requires comprehensive policies focusing on food price stabilization, a more equitable distribution of income, and expanded access to food for vulnerable populations in a sustainable manner.
Analisis Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Tingkat Pendidikan, dan Tingkat Kemiskinan Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) di Indonesia Tahun 2019–2023 Febri Stiawan; Tuty Sariwulan; Siti Nurjannah
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Manajemen Indonesia Vol. 2 No. 2 (2026): JULI-DESEMBER
Publisher : Indo Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/fwccyh16

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of economic growth, education level, and poverty rate on the Human Development Index (HDI) in Indonesia during the period of 2019–2023. The study was motivated by disparities in human development across provinces in Indonesia despite the overall upward trend in the national HDI. In addition, fluctuations in economic growth due to the COVID-19 pandemic, improvements in educational attainment, and changes in poverty levels are presumed to influence the quality of human development in Indonesia. This study employed a quantitative approach using secondary panel data covering 34 provinces in Indonesia from 2019 to 2023. The data were obtained from Statistics Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik/BPS). The data were analyzed using panel data regression, including model selection through the Chow Test, Hausman Test, and Lagrange Multiplier Test, followed by classical assumption tests, partial significance tests (t-test), simultaneous significance tests (F-test), and the coefficient of determination (Adjusted R²). The results indicate that, partially, economic growth has a positive effect on the Human Development Index (HDI), education level has a positive effect on the Human Development Index (HDI), while the poverty rate has a negative effect on the Human Development Index (HDI). Simultaneously, economic growth, education level, and poverty rate have a significant effect on the Human Development Index (HDI) in Indonesia during the 2019–2023 period. The Adjusted R² value indicates that the independent variables explain most of the variation in the Human Development Index (HDI), while the remaining variation is explained by other variables outside the research model. These findings imply that improving educational quality, promoting inclusive economic growth, and reducing poverty are essential factors in enhancing human development in Indonesia. Therefore, the government is expected to strengthen policies aimed at improving the quality of human resources, ensuring more inclusive economic growth, and accelerating poverty reduction to achieve sustainable improvements in the Human Development Index.  
Co-Authors Febri Stiawan Nurul Latifah Rd. Tuty Sariwulan Usep Suhud Yeni Sedyoningsih