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All Journal Jurnal Kebijakan Pemerintahan Economic Development Analysis Journal
Fitri Handayani
BPS-Statistics of South Kalimantan Province
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Sektor Pariwisata untuk Pemulihan Ekonomi Kalimantan Tengah: Simulasi Tabel Input-Output Fitri Handayani; Tita Rosy
Jurnal Kebijakan Pemerintahan Jurnal Kebijakan Pemerintahan, Volume 5, Nomor 1, Tahun 2022
Publisher : Fakultas Politik Pemerintahan IPDN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33701/jkp.v5i1.2407

Abstract

Abstract The Covid-19 pandemic has had a negative impact on Central Kalimantan's economic growth with a contraction of 1.40 percent in 2020. Central Kalimantan's economic is still highly dependent on natural resource-based sectors, and it will be very vulnerable because the movement of the economy will be greatly influenced by global price volatility and its uncertainty. The tourism sector, therefore, is an important sector that is expected to be an alternative driver sector of economic recovery. This study aims to measure and analyze the relationship between the tourism sector and other sectors, as well as to simulate investment policies in Central Kalimantan. Limited studies that focus on the tourism sector as planning for economic recovery after the pandemic, especially in Central Kalimantan, can make this research as a reference for policy makers in economic planning. The Input Output table released in May 2021 becomes secondary data used in research with forward and backward linkage analysis and investment simulations in the tourism sector. The results showed that the tourism sector is the sector that has the highest forward linkage in Central Kalimantan. Furthermore, if investment is given to the sector of accommodation and food service activities, it will provide the greatest boost to the total economy compared to other tourism sectors. However, the transportation sector which is the infrastructure in tourism also has an important role as a leading sector with more than one forward and backward linkage index. Keywords: Pandemic, Tourism Sector, Economic Recovery, Input Output Table
Structural Break and The Period of Indonesia’s Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery Fitri Handayani
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.46897

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 caused economic contraction of 2.07 percent in Indonesia. Knowing the similar economic conditions in the past period and how long is the period of Indonesia's economic recovery after the pandemic are important. Therefore, this study aims to determine the period of economic structural break that has occurred in Indonesia and to determine the period of economic recovery. The analytical method used is the Bai-Perron, cointegration test, and VECM. The variables used are economic growth, exports, and inflation. The results of this study indicate the occurrence of structural break periods in the Indonesian economy in 1989, 1998 and 2004. Furthermore, based on the long-term VECM equation, exports have a positive but insignificant effect on economic growth. In contrast, inflation has a significant negative impact on economic growth. By using the IRF, it showed that economic growth will achieve stability or recovery after the occurrence of shocks to economic growth itself within a period of 5 to 10 years. If there is a shock to exports, economic stability can be achieved in a period of 5 to 10 years. Meanwhile, if there is a shock to inflation, stability can be achieved in less than 5 years.
Co-Authors Tita Rosy