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The Economic Determinant Factors of Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Exports to India Teguh Warsito
JURNAL EKUIVALENSI Vol. 6 No. 2 (2020): JURNAL EKUIVALENSI
Publisher : LPPM dan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Kahuripan Kediri

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Abstract

This study examines the economic determinants of Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (CPO) export performance to India using time series data from quarter 1, 2006 to quarter 2, 2016. India is one of Indonesia's main export destinations for CPO commodities. The results indicate that the price of soybean oil, as a substitution good of CPO, significantly influences the value of CPO exports. Another variable that significantly affects the CPO exports is the Gross Domestic Product of India as a proxy for the demand of CPO. Although the exchange rate and total production of CPO positively influence the CPO exports, the effects of these variables are too weak, not significant. As the largest exporter of CPO in the world, the Indonesia government should maintain the fluctuation of CPO price, relative to the price of soybean as substitution goods, in the international market. Furthermore, monitoring the global economies, such as the fluctuation of GDP India as the market, is very important to capture the opportunity to increase CPO exports.
Bagaimana Covid-19 Mengubah Struktur Perekonomian Kota Besar Di Pulau Jawa? Teguh Warsito
JURNAL EKUIVALENSI Vol. 7 No. 2 (2021): JURNAL EKUIVALENSI
Publisher : LPPM dan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Kahuripan Kediri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51158/ekuivalensi.v7i2.630

Abstract

Abstrak Pandemi Covid-19 memengaruhi aktivitas perekonomian masyarakat di semua sektor sehingga output ekonomi mengalami penurunan. Dampak ini dirasakan Indonesia baik di level nasional maupun regional, termasuk lima kota terbesar di Jawa: Jakarta, Bandung, Semarang, Yogyakarta, dan Surabaya. Struktur perekonomian yang sudah dibentuk di kota-kota tersebut dapat bergeser karena dampak yang dirasakan setiap sektor berbeda. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui bagaimana perubahan struktur perekonomian di kota-kota tersebut akibat Covid-19. Analisis yang digunakan adalah dengan menguraikan komponen pertumbuhan PDRB sebelum dan semasa pandemi Covid-19 untuk melihat ada tidaknya perubahan sektor basis, perubahan kecepatan pertumbuhan, perubahan sektor progresif, dan perubahan sektor krisis. Penelitian ini berkesimpulan walaupun setiap kota mempunyai perubahan struktur perekonomian yang berbeda namun mempunyai kesamaan tentang sektor mana yang terimbas paling parah akibat pandemi yaitu berubah menjadi lambat, tidak progresif, dan menjadi krisis semasa pandemi Covid-19. Sektor tersebut adalah penyediaan akomodasi dan makan minum, transportasi dan pergudangan, jasa lainnya, perdagangan besar dan eceran, konstruksi, serta jasa perusahaan. Pemerintah pusat dan daerah perlu mengimplementasikan berbagai strategi untuk memulihkan ketiga sektor tersebut melalui pemberian insentif; kepastian keamanan dan kenyamanan transportasi, akomodasi, tempat rekreasi, dan rumah makan; penguatan daya beli masyarakat; serta melanjutkan proyek konstruksi dan mempermudah pembiayannya. Kata kunci: Covid-19, Pertumbuhan Kota, Struktur Perekonomian, Location Quotient, Shift Share Abstract The Covid-19 pandemic has affected economic activities in all sectors so that economic output has decreased. Indonesia has been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic at national and regional levels, including the five largest cities in Java: Jakarta, Bandung, Semarang, Yogyakarta, and Surabaya. The economic structure of those cities could shift because the impact of Covid-19 on each sector is not at the same level. This study aims to find out how the economic structure of these cities has changed due to Covid-19. This study elaborates on the components of GRDP growth whether there are changes in the base sector, growth speed, progressive sector, and crisis sector. This study concludes, although each city has different changes in the economic structure, they have in common about which sectors are most severely affected by the pandemic, namely changing slowly, not being progressive, and becoming a crisis during the Covid-19 pandemic. These sectors are accommodation and food and beverage, transportation and warehousing, other services activities, wholesale and retail trade, construction, as well as business activities. The central and local governments should implement various policies to restore the growth of those sectors by providing incentives; ensuring the safety and comfort of transportation, accommodation, recreation areas, and restaurants; strengthening people's purchasing power; as well as continuing construction projects and facilitating their financing. Keywords: Covid-19, City Growth, Economic Structure, Location Quotient, Shift Share
Analisis Siklus Pasar Properti Residensial di Masa Pandemi Covid-19 dengan Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter Teguh Warsito
JURNAL EKUIVALENSI Vol. 8 No. 2 (2022): JURNAL EKUIVALENSI
Publisher : LPPM dan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Kahuripan Kediri

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Abstract

Pandemi Covid-19 menyebabkan pelemahan sisi permintaan masyarakat. Pelemahan ini mungkin juga terjadi pada sektor properti residensial. Penelitian ini akan melihat apakah ada penyimpangan harga properti residensial dari tren harga normal. Tren harga dan penyimpangan harga properti ini akan dianalisis dengan menggunakan metode Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter. Harga yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah indeks harga dari Survei Harga Properti Residensial oleh Bank Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil yang diperoleh, pada awal tahun 2020 di masa awal pandemi terjadi resesi di pasar properti residensial hingga akhir 2021. Indeks harga properti residensial di awal 2020 berada 0,3% dan mencapai 1,5% di bawah tren pada akhir 2021. Namun di tahun 2022, sudah terlihat adanya pemulihan di pasar properti residensial ini. Resesi yang terjadi pada masa Covid-19 ini perlu diperhatikan oleh penilai dengan melakukan penyesuaian data saat menggunakan data pembanding di periode tersebut.