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All Journal Jurnal Agribis AGRI-TEK : Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu-ilmu Eksakta International Journal of Business and Quality Research
Firmansyah
Universitas Muhammadiyah Makassar
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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TREND NILAI TUKAR PETANI PERIKANAN BUDIDAYA DAN PERIKANAN TANGKAP DI PROVINSI SULAWESI SELATAN Firmansyah; Andi Amran Asriadi
Jurnal AGRIBIS Vol. 15 No. 2 (2022): JURNAL AGRIBIS
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis Faperta Universitas Muhammadiyah Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36085/agribis.v15i2.3569

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji dan menganalisis seberapa besar perkembangan (Trend) nilai tukar petani subsektor perikanan budidaya dan tangkap di Sulawesi Selatan. Jenis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data kuantitatif dan sumber dari data sekunder (time series). Data yang digunakan adalah data dalam bentuk time series 5 tahun terakhir (2017-2021). Keseluruhan data yang ada berupa data bulanan (t), sampel yang digunakan ditentukan berupa sampel besar yaitu data 60 bulan. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis Trend yang merupakan peramalan suatu variabel bebasnya waktu atau gerakan dari deret berkala selama beberapa tahun dan cenderung menuju pada suatu arah, dimana arahnya dapat naik, mendatar, maupun menurun. Hasil penelitian munujukkan bahwa trend nilai tukar petani(nelayan) Subsektor perikanan tangkap di Sulawesi Selatan selama kurun waktu bulan Januari 2016 – Desember 2021 mengalami penurunan sebesar 0,0018 persen per bulan. Penurunan NTP Subsektor perikanan tangkap terjadi disebabkan harga yang diterima petani lebih kecil dibandingkan yang dibayarkan. Trend nilai tukar petani(nelayan) Subsektor perikanan budidaya di Sulawesi Selatan selama kurun waktu bulan Januari 2016 – Desember 2021 mengalami kenaikan sebesar 0,001 persen per bulan. Kenaikan NTP Subsektor perikanan budidaya terjadi disebabkan harga yang diterima petani lebih besar dibandingkan yang dibayarkan. Kata Kunci : Trend, Perikanan Tangkap, Perikanan Budidaya
Trend of Big Chili Prices in Makassar City Using the Arimax Method: Trend Harga Cabai Besar di Kota Makassar Menggunakan Metode Arimax Andi Amran Asriadi Andi Alifa; Firmansyah; Nailah Husain
JURNAL AGRI-TEK : Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu-Ilmu Eksakta Vol. 25 No. 2 (2024): JURNAL AGRI-TEK
Publisher : Universitas Merdeka Madiun

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33319/agtek.v25i2.132

Abstract

The aims of the study were (1) to analyze the price forecasting of large chilies based on Arima, (2) to analyze the parameter estimates in the best arima model which can be used to select the best Arima in Makassar City. The type of data used is quantitative data or secondary data. Secondary data in this study were obtained from the official website of the National Strategic Food Price Information Center. The data analysis used is an analysis of the ARIMA forecasting model using EViews12 Statistics. The results of the research are large chili price forecasting based on Arima, the results of the Augmented Dicky Fuller (ADF) test show the statistical value of ADF |-6.513855| > critical value|-2.912631| at the 5% level. (2). The results of the accuracy of the ARIMAX forecasting model on large chili price data in Makassar City using the out-sample criteria, obtained the Mean Square Error (MSE) value. The model chosen is Model (1.1.1), which has the largest MSE of 15510.83, Model (4.0.0), which is the most moderate, has an MSE of 13867.02, and Model (4.1.1) which has the smallest MSE of 13839.57. All P-Value numbers for the regression coefficients, both the ARIMA Models (1.1.1), (4.0.0), (4.1.1) are all below the number ? = 0.05%.
Evaluation of the Daily Labor Budget and Calculation of Additional Labor Needs at Hotel XYZ in Makassar Muhammad Nur abdi; Firmansyah; Astia Lanriupa Natsirm; Muhammad Iqram
International Journal of Business and Quality Research Vol. 4 No. 03 (2026): July - September, International Journal of Business and Quality Research (IJBQ
Publisher : Citakonsultindo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63922/ijbqr.v4i03.4776

Abstract

Fluctuations in occupancy rates and the high frequency of special events in the hospitality industry require management to be adaptive in controlling variable operating costs, particularly the budget for casual/daily workers. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of implementing activity-based budgeting and flexible budgeting in meeting the need for additional staff at Hotel XYZ in Makassar. Using a quantitative descriptive approach with a case study method, this study analyzes actual budget expenditure data and the number of operational personnel during the transition period of November and December 2025. The results show that the implementation of flexible budgeting at Hotel XYZ in Makassar was highly responsive in addressing peak season demands. There was an 81.48% increase in the number of casual workers (from 27 to 49 personnel), accompanied by an 80.35% increase in budget allocation (from Rp90,217,130 to Rp162,711,180). The Food & Beverage (Kitchen & Banquet) division and the Security department were identified as the primary cost drivers, absorbing the largest portion of the budget to maintain the hotel’s service and security standards. This study concludes that this dynamic budget adjustment is capable of optimizing the hotel’s operational efficiency. Management is recommended to implement strict key performance indicators (KPIs) for casual workers and conduct cross-training to prevent the risk of rising variable costs that could erode the company’s net profitability.
Co-Authors Andi Amran Asriadi Andi Amran Asriadi Andi Alifa Astia Lanriupa Natsirm Muhammad Iqram Muhammad Nur Abdi Nailah Husain