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didiet purnomo
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS DEFISIT NERACA TRANSAKSI BERJALAN DENGAN KURS DI INDONESIA Purnomo, Didiet; Wahyudi, Wahyudi
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 1 (2003) : JEP Juni 2003
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v4i1.4014

Abstract

This research is aimed at understanding the relation pattern of the current transaction balance and Indonesian rate of exchange in 1981-2002. The analysis method used is Granger causality method. Yet, before doing the Granger causality test, it was carried out data stationary test to avoid fake correlation. Stationary test shows that the data are not stationary so that it was made stationary by using one different level. The result of Granger causality analysis shows that it happen only one direction causality relation from the deficit of current account towards the rate of exchange because it has smaller counting F value then the determined a.
UTANG LUAR NEGERI (ULN) PEMERINTAH RI: BERMANFAAT ATAU MENYENGSARAKAN? Purnomo, Didiet
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 1 (2003) : JEP Juni 2003
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v4i1.4017

Abstract

This article tries to explain the impact of Indonesian government foreign debt on its economic condition. The debt, on one hand, especially one through the government course is badly hoped to return Indonesian economic condition to be better after crisis. On the other hand, however the government foreign debt accumulation becomes the boomerang for Indonesian government. How far is actually the permissiveness of the foreign loan can be clarified via some approaches i.e. budget principle, net transfer. and Debt Service Ratio (DSR) approaches. The visible phenomenon based on the above approaches illustrates that Indonesian government foreign debt condition is hugely accumulated, so it is regarded to exceed the repayment power.
Co-Authors Wahyudi Wahyudi