Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2020 - 2025
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Journal of Mathematics UNP
Septri Novita
Matematika, Universitas Negeri Padang
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Peramalan Jumlah Produksi Daging Sapi Provinsi Sumatera Barat Menggunakan Metode Pemulusan Eksponensial Ganda Tipe Holt Septri Novita; Arnellis Arnellis
Journal of Mathematics UNP Vol 5, No 2 (2020): Journal Of Mathematics UNP
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS NEGERI PADANG

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (648.238 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/unpjomath.v5i2.8929

Abstract

Abstract — Beef is one of the sources of animal protein that is able to fulfill human nutritional needs. Beef production in West Sumatera Province comes from slaughterhouses, modern or traditional abattoirs. The purpose of this study is make a forecasting model for the amount of beef production in the province of West Sumatera that using the Holt type double exponential smoothing method and predict the amount of beef production based on the model that formed. Data takes from the data of beef production’s amount in the province of West Sumatera from 2005 until 2018 obtained from the Department of Animal Husbandry and Animal Health of West Sumatera’s Province. The method used is the method of Holt Type Double Exponential Smoothing, parameter α and ɣ minimize MSE is 0,9 and 0,1. The result of the forecast beef production in the province of West Sumatera from 2019 until 2023 in a row is 20.644,40 ton, 20.892,66 ton, 21.140,93 ton, 21.389,19 ton, dan 21637,45 ton. Keywords — Forecasting, Double Eksponential Smoothing Type Holt, Beef Production.
Co-Authors Arnellis Arnellis