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All Journal VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application on Teaching and Research
Rezki Amalia Idrus
Department of Statistics, Universitas Negeri Makassar
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Mathematics

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Penerapan Metode Singular Spectrum Analysis dalam Peramalan Jumlah Produksi Beras di Kabupaten Gowa Rezki Amalia Idrus; Ruliana Ruliana; Aswi Aswi
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research Vol. 4 No. 2 (2022)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Fakultas MIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (573.022 KB) | DOI: 10.35580/variansiunm40

Abstract

Total rice production in Gowa Regency from January 2018 to December 2020 has decreased which is not significant every month, so it is necessary to do a forecast to anticipate food shortages in the future. This study aims to determine the yield of rice production in Gowa Regency and to model data from October 2021 to September 2022 using the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) method. Based on the results of the analysis, the MAPE value obtained is 6.32% so it can be said that forecasting using the SSA method is very accurate
Co-Authors Aswi, Aswi Ruliana