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Determinants of United States - Indonesia Equity Market’s Dynamic Correlation: The Role of Commodities and Exchange Rate’s Volatilities Robiyanto, Robiyanto; Pangesti, Essy Indah; Harijono, Harijono; Frensidy, Budi
Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol 38, No 2 (2023): July 2023
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis UNTAG Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56444/mem.v38i2.3595

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of oil price volatility, gold price volatility and exchange rate volatility on the dynamic relationship between Indonesian and United States capital market. The data used in this study are daily closing prices of oil, gold and exchange rates (USD/IDR) as well as Indonesian capital market (JKSE) and United States capital market (DJIA) composite indices during period of January 2005 to October 2020. This study uses DCC-GARCH method to calculate the dynamic correlation between two capital markets and GARCH with the GED parameter to analyze oil volatility, gold volatility and exchange rate volatility on the integration of Indonesian capital market and United States capital market. The results of this study show positive and strong results on the integration of Indonesian and United States capital markets, thus proving that the movements of Indonesian market and American market tend to be strong and mutually influence the two capital markets. Moreover, the oil, gold and exchange rates volatilities have a negative effect on the integration of the Indonesia capital market and the US capital market. This finding implies investors should take oil, gold and exchange rates volatilities in their investment consideration.
Evaluation of Housing Project Business Feasibility Calculations from a Financial Perspective Firdaus, Muhammad Avri; Frensidy, Budi
Dinasti International Journal of Education Management and Social Science Vol. 7 No. 3 (2025): Dinasti International Journal of Education Management and Social Science (Febru
Publisher : Dinasti Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.38035/dijemss.v7i3.6098

Abstract

This study evaluates the limitations of Return on Investment (ROI) as PT XYZ’s primary project assessment tool and contrasts it with the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Net Present Value (NPV) approaches. Analysis of three projects reveals that ROI fails to account for the time value of money and tends to produce overly optimistic evaluations. Major deviations stem from cost overruns in operational, legal, and construction components, as well as oversimplified cash-flow assumptions. Qualitative findings confirm that reliance on ROI is driven by time pressure and limited expertise in DCF modeling. The simulation of Project D demonstrates that a conservative DCF framework provides a more accurate assessment and exposes hidden risks. This study recommends using ROI only as an initial screening tool, with final investment decisions based on NPV supplemented by scenario analysis.