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All Journal BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Lia Yuliana
Politeknik Statistik STIS
Humanities Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation

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PENERAPAN REGRESI DATA PANEL PENGARUH KESETARAAN GENDER TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROVINSI RIAU PERIODE 2011-2015 Sutri Vininda; Lia Yuliana
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2020 No 1 (2020): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2020
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (237.253 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2020i1.416

Abstract

Economic growth is which one indicator to evaluate the economic performance of a region. During the 2011-2015 period, economic growth in Indonesia decline, where Sumatra Island had the lowest economic growth, especially in Riau Province. Economic growth is obtained from production factors owned by a region. The existence of gender differences can lead to differences in productivity between workers, so in assessing economic growth it is necessary to include gender equality in the economy. This study aims to describe in general economic growth and gender equality and to determine the impact of gender equality on economic growth in Riau Province during the 2011-2015 period using descriptive analysis and panel data regression. The results showed that conditions of gender equality in the field of technology and labor force had increased while conditions for gender equality in the field of education had decreased. The panel data regression results show that the ratio of accessing the internet, the ratio of working hours, and the ratio of wages have a significant positive effect on economic growth, while the MYS ratio has not significant positive effect on economic growth.
DETERMINANTS OF INDONESIA’S CINNAMON EXPORT VOLUME TO THE UNITED STATES: AN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL APPROACH Siahaan, Elga Winner Mombun; Yuliana, Lia
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 19 No 2 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol19iss2pp1083-1092

Abstract

Cinnamon is one of Indonesia's leading export spice commodities. The United States (US) is the strongest importer country of Indonesian cinnamon. However, since 2013 the volume of Indonesian cinnamon exports to the US has decreased. If this decline continues, it could shift Indonesia's position in the cinnamon export market. This research aims to provide an overview of and analyze the influence of export prices, GDP, production, and exchange rate on Indonesia’s cinnamon exports to the US from 1990 to 2022. The data used are from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), World Bank, and Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). This research uses descriptive analysis with graphical analysis and inference analysis with the Error Correction Model (ECM). The results showed that in the long term, decreasing export prices can increase demand for cinnamon exports from the US. In the short term, large production that does not meet the quality standards can reduce cinnamon exports. The increase in US people's income and the strengthening of Rupiah can increase the volume of Indonesian cinnamon exports to the US in both the long and short term.
Co-Authors Siahaan, Elga Winner Mombun Sutri Vininda