This Author published in this journals
All Journal Jupiter
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

Optimasi Fuzzy Time Series Chen Pada Prediksi Kasus Covid-19 Di Sumatera Selatan Menggunakan Particle Swarm Optimization HAFIZH SHAFWAN RAFA; Dian Palupi Rini; Mastura Diana Marieska
JUPITER (Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu dan Teknologi Komputer) Vol 14 No 2-c (2022): Jupiter Edisi Oktober 2022
Publisher : Teknik Komputer Politeknik Negeri Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5281./4949/5.jupiter.2022.10

Abstract

At the beginning of its appearance, COVID-19 made the whole community become worried about the possibility that would happen in the future. Prediction of COVID-19 cases is a solution that can be done to reduce this worry. This study uses the Fuzzy Time Series Chen method to predict COVID-19 cases in the future, but on the other hand this method has shortcomings in determining the length of the interval which can result in the prediction accuracy being less good, so a Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm is needed to optimize the length. intervals that will later be used to predict cases of COVID-19, so that the results of the predictions will be better. Prediction accuracy is calculated using Mean Absolute Percentage Error. Based on testing the MAPE error value generated from Fuzzy Time Series Chen which is optimized for 26.380%, while for predictions without optimization it produces a value of 30.057%.