Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Jurnal Gaussian
ARYA YAHYA
BADAN PUSAT STATISTIK
Other

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
PERAMALAN INDEKS HARGA KONSUMEN INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE SEASONAL-ARIMA (SARIMA) ARYA YAHYA
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 11, No 2 (2022): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v11i2.35528

Abstract

The pattern of changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is very important to observe from time to time because it is closely related to economic indicators such as the amount of money in circulation, exchange rates, interest rates, and other economic indicators. This study aims to form a model and predict the Indonesian Consumer Price Index using the SARIMA method. The data used in modeling are monthly CPI data for the period January 2012 to February 2022. The best model for predicting Indonesia's CPI is the SARIMA (0,1,1)(0,1,1)12  model. This study examines the CPI value in January and February 2022 which is not included in the estimation model, the estimation results (108,08 and 108,20) are very close to the actual CPI value issued by the Central Statistics Agency.
Co-Authors