Dwi Susanti
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Padjadjaran, Jatinangor, Indonesia

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Company Stock Performance Analysis on IDX ESG Leaders Index Using the ARIMA-GARCH Model Hazelino Rafi Pradaswara; Dwi Susanti; Sukono Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 3, No 3 (2022)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v3i3.347

Abstract

Stocks are one of the most popular forms of investment. In investing stocks, it is necessary to know the movement of stock prices and the investment risks that may occur. The purpose of this study is to predict the level of risk, see the characteristics of stock returns, and whether the ESG Risk Rating makes the company's stock performance better. The models used to predict stock returns are Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticty (GARCH), and Value at Risk (VaR) is used to predict risk. Based on the research, the potential loss for Bank BCA is IDR29.800.000,00 and Bank Mandiri is IDR33.600.000,00 with the assumption that an investor invests as much as IDR1.000.000.000,00. In addition, Bank BCA has a lower ESG Risk Rating than Bank Mandiri, but has a better performance.
Investment Portfolio Optimization With Mean-Variance Investment Portfolio Optimization Model Without Risk Free Assets Wilda Nur Rahmalia; Dwi Susanti; Rizki Apriva Hidayana
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 3, No 4 (2022)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v3i4.360

Abstract

Forming a portfolio is a strategy that is often carried out by investors in risky investment conditions. Five non-risk free stocks were selected, namely PTBA, IPCM, ANTM, BUMI, and ADMF. The purpose of forming this portfolio is to determine the composition of the weight (proportion) of the allocation of funds in each of these shares in forming the optimum portfolio. The method used is the Mean-Variance investment portfolio optimization model without risk-free assets using the Markowitz approach. Based on the results obtained by the optimum portfolio of the Mean-Variance model without risk-free assets, the average return is 0.00105 and the variance is 0.000067 with a portfolio ratio value of 14.65256. The proportion of fund allocation to PTBA shares = 0.28872; IPCM=0.02484; ANTM=0.00016; EARTH=0.13501; and ADMF=0.55126. It is hoped that the formation of this portfolio optimization model will be useful as an alternative for investors in optimizing the investment portfolio to make it more profitable in the future.