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All Journal Ekuilibrium : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi EKUITAS (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan) Economic Development Analysis Journal
Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin
University of Muhammadiyah Malang
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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The Role of Performance Political Stability and Macroeconomic Attracting Foreign Direct Investment in ASEAN Ivada Nafiah Maulidiyah; Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin
EKUILIBRIUM : JURNAL ILMIAH BIDANG ILMU EKONOMI Vol 19, No 1 (2024): March
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Ponorogo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24269/ekuilibrium.v19i1.2024.pp107-121

Abstract

Foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a crucial role in developing nations to raise the standard of living for their citizens and strengthen their economies. This research aims to investigate the effects of macroeconomic factors like GDP, inflation, and female employment in the industry on flows of foreign direct investment as well as factor political stability with a research focus on 5 ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia) with research 20 years. The research method used panel data regression with secondary data from the World Bank. The Fixed Effect Model is found to be the best model selection. The results showed that political stability variables as well as all macroeconomic fundamental variables as measured by GDP, Inflation, and Employment Females in Industry partially had a significant and positive effect on the inflow of Foreign direct investment in 5 ASEAN countries and simultaneously had a significant positive effect.
Are Geopolitical, Economy, and Social Affecting Unemployments? Evidence From ASEAN-5 Danang Tri Hatmaja; Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 1 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i1.59439

Abstract

East and Southeast Asia gain tremendous economic and political advantages in terms of economic geopolitics (GPE). However, the impact that emerged in the GPE was further exacerbated by the emergence of the covid pandemic, "one belt, one road" in the global economic and geopolitical recession, which caused figures to soar in several ASEAN countries which is one of the challenges related to economic development. This study used the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) based on de jure an d de facto KOFGI panel data in ASEAN-5 from 1991-2019 to explore the short and long-term relationship between geopolitical, economic, and social factors on the unemployment rate. The results of this study reveal that the four variables have two co-integration relationships: especially in the long term, economic factors harm the unemployment, meanwhile, social and political factors have not provided a conducive influence to maintain the unemployment impact, and they promote no mutual mechanism benefit. The findings also show a negative correlation between political factors and an increase in de facto unemployment. It indicates that the political environment impacts a decrease in social and economic variables. Furthermore, the shock of the loss of de jure economic stability has adverse social and political interactions, thereby increasing the unemployment rate. This due to the critical role of economic stability to reduce the unemployment in ASEAN-5 countries.
DETERMINANTS OF MONETARY VARIABLES AND PHILIPS CURVE TESTING OF INFLATION IN ASIAN COUNTRIES Niken Hesty Wulandari; Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin
EKUITAS (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan) Vol 8 No 2 (2024): June
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Indonesia (STIESIA) Surabaya(STIESIA) Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24034/j25485024.y2024.v8.i2.6301

Abstract

This study examined the impact of monetary variables on inflation and determined the validity of the Phillips curve in the Asian context. It applied a quantitative methodology with a descriptive orientation. The data source utilized was the World Bank from 2013 to 2022, and the analysis approach employed was panel data regression. The research findings indicate that the money supply variable (M3) has a limited impact on inflation. Simultaneously, both GDP and loan interest rates substantially impact inflation. Conversely, money supply (M3), GDP, male unemployment, and loan interest rates simultaneously influence inflation in Asian countries. The study's findings indicate that unemployment does not exert a noteworthy detrimental impact on inflation, demonstrating the ineffectiveness of the Phillips curve for non-Asian nations. Each ASEAN member state implements diverse policies to manage and control the inflation rate. Hong Kong can enforce price monitoring measures to deter market manipulation. Vietnam could enhance its trade policy to alleviate the consequences of imported inflation. Korea can sustain interest rates at a moderate level. Indonesia can synchronize monetary and fiscal policies in order to manage inflation.
Co-Authors Danang Tri Hatmaja Ivada Nafiah Maulidiyah Niken Hesty Wulandari