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All Journal Jurnal Bisnis Tani Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis
Hariz Eko Wibowo
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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ANALISIS VOLATILITAS HARGA KOMODITAS HORTIKULTURA STRATEGIS DI PROVINSI BENGKULU Hariz Eko Wibowo; Ridha Rizki Novanda
Jurnal Bisnis Tani Vol 9, No 1 (2023): Jurnal Bisnis Tani Volume 9 Nomor 1 April 2023
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/jbt.v9i1.7229

Abstract

Economic growth was caused by unstable inflation which made it difficult for the public to carry out production, consumption and investment. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the level of volatility of strategic horticultural commodity prices in the Bengkulu Province which has an impact on inflation. The data used is monthly time series data for horticultural strategy commodity prices in Bengkulu Province from July 2017 to December 2022. The horticultural strategy commodities studied were shallots, red chilies and cayenne pepper. The data used is secondary data sourced from the National Strategic Food Price Information Center. Price volatility analysis uses a time series model with the help of R studio software. Forecast results using the ARIMA model for shallot prices, red chili prices, and cayenne pepper prices show relatively stable prices. The highest level of price volatility among horticultural commodity strategies in Bengkulu Province is red chili, followed by cayenne pepper, and then shallots. The volatility of the shallot price is 14.33%. Red chili price volatility is 20.83%. The price volatility of cayenne pepper is 18.66%. This shows that the volatility levels of shallot prices, red chili prices, and cayenne pepper prices are still under control and this is reinforced by the results that the model does not have an ARCH effect. Several anomalies such as prices that rose significantly in June 2022 were due to a decline in commodities due to farmers reducing the number of plants in line with high fertilizer prices, especially in Rejang Lebong Regency. This is also the impact of the post-pandemic.
Identifying and Developing the Main Agricultural Commodities Around Kerinci Seblat National Park, Lebong Regency Romdhon, Muhamad Mustopa; Nola Windirah; Hariz Eko Wibowo
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL. 25 NO. 01 2026 (MARCH)
Publisher : Badan Penerbitan Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.25.01.435-448

Abstract

This research investigates the superior agricultural commodities in villages surrounding the Kerinci Seblat National Park (KSNP), Lebong Regency, aiming to identify the main agricultural commodities and elucidate the enabling conditions for their sustainable development. This study contributes to the broader goal of achieving harmony between human prosperity and environmental sustainability in the KSNP. A mixed-methods approach was employed, using a quantitative Location Quotient (LQ) analysis of production data from 21 villages to identify main commodities. The total number of respondents was 105 farmers and four expert respondents (the Department of Agriculture, Head of a Farmer Group, Businessman, and an academic). This study used both primary and secondary data sources. Primary data were obtained through a survey using structured instruments to obtain information from farmers. The study concludes that the villages around the KSNP have a variety of main agricultural commodities. Each village has advantages in commodity diversification, a high degree of specialization, and an integrated Cultivation Model. The sustainable development of the main agricultural commodities in villages around the KSNP faces several opportunities and challenges. The main opportunities are downstream product development, access to premium and export markets, and agro-tourism. The main challenges faced by almost all villages are similar, rooted in their geographic location are limited land and regulations, infrastructure and market access, and price management.
Co-Authors Nola Windirah Ridha Rizki Novanda Romdhon, Muhamad Mustopa