Mulianto Raharjo
Kementerian Dalam Negeri, Indonesia

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Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Keberhasilan Studi Mahasiswa IPB Jalur Ketua OSIS dengan Metode Pohon Regresi Novia Yustika Tri Lestari. YR; Utami Dyah Syafitri; Mulianto Raharjo
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 11 No. 2 (2022):
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (435.92 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v11i2.863

Abstract

The success of IPB student's study can be seen from the achievement index obtained at the end of each semester. Meanwhile, the success rate of one's study is generally influenced by two factors, internal factors and external factors. Internal factors consist of intelligence (intellectual), physical, attitudes, interests, talents, and motivations, while external factors consist of family circumstances, school conditions, and the community environment. Therefore, this study uses the analysis method of classification and regression trees (CART) to find out what factors influenced the success of the Student Council (OSIS) university students. Regression tree it is one of the methods of classification and regression trees (CART) to perform classification analysis on both categorical and continuous response variables. Continuous response variables will produce a regression tree or hierarchical data group that starts at the root and ends with a relatively homogeneous small group. The response variable used in this study is the Achievement Index of first semester students. The results obtained from the analysis showed that there are several different variables in each class in influencing the success of the student council (OSIS) university students, but if we look further, there are two variables that are the same in influencing the success of the student council (OSIS) university students, which are variables from high school province and student study programs. This study uses secondary data from 493 IPB students track the chairman of the student council of the year 2018-2020 which is still active until now. Furthermore, the analysis of the regression tree is performed against four different models, for each of the force and the overall force by adjusting the variables available. The formation of tree regression performed 10 repetitions and the results of regression trees is taken from a tree which has the approximate value of the smallest risk. Then, the final results obtained from the analysis showed that there are several different variables in each class in influencing the success of the student council (OSIS) university students, but if we look further, there are two variables that are the same in influencing the success of the student council (OSIS) university students, which are variables from high school province and student study programs.
Penerapan Metode CART pada Pengklasifikasian Bekerja dan Pengangguran di Kabupaten Subang Ilma Nabila; I Made Sumertajaya; Mulianto Raharjo
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 11 No. 2 (2022):
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (562.57 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v11i2.890

Abstract

Unemployment is a complex problem faced by developing countries, including Indonesia. The high unemployment rate in Indonesia impacts poverty, so that the government seeks to carry out economic development. Subang is one of the districts that contributed 8,68 percent of the open unemployment rate in 2019 and increased by 9,48 percent in 2020. The incessant growth of industrial estates and smart city program development in Subang is one of the efforts to reduce unemployment. This study used a classification and regression tree (CART) to determine the factors that influenced unemployment status in Subang Regency. The advantage of the CART method is easy to interpret the results of the analysis. However, the accuracy of the classification tree is relatively low due to data imbalance. Therefore, this study used SMOTE method to deal with this problem. The optimal classification tree was formed from 17 terminal nodes and 6 explanatory variables. 7 terminal nodes represent work as work, and 10 terminal nodes represent unemployment as unemployment. The 6 explanatory variables consist of marital status (X3), attending job training (X5), the position in the family (X4), the education level (X2), gender (X1), and age (X6).