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All Journal Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) EKONOMIS : Journal of Economics and Business
Tria Apriliana
Widyatama University
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Faktor-faktor Penentu Resesi di Indonesia (Determinants of Recession in Indonesia) Tria Apriliana
Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business Vol 7, No 2 (2023): September
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33087/ekonomis.v7i2.757

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has had a further impact on the global economy, such as the threat of a recession. The Indonesian economy is making various efforts to be able to overcome the existing problems. This study aims to determine the determinants of recession in Indonesia. This research uses a secondary database from the Central Statistics Agency, Bank Indonesia, Bank Indonesia and the World Bank for the period March 2020 to September 2022. (The Covid-19 pandemic has entered Indonesia until now). The analytical method used in this research is Ordinary Least Squared (OLS). The results of this study indicate that there are four variables that have a significant effect on economic growth, namely inflation, domestic interest rates, world crude oil prices, and exchange rates. The variables that have the most influence on changes in economic growth are the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar, then domestic interest rates, then inflation and finally world crude oil prices.
THE IMPACT OF NATIONAL GINGER PRODUCTION, IDR/BDT EXCHANGE RATE, PARTNER COUNTRY GDP, AND INDONESIA’S INFLATION ON INDONESIA’S GINGER EXPORT VALUE TO BANGLADESH (2014–2024) Azka Septianto; Tria Apriliana
Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): COSTING : Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting
Publisher : Institut Penelitian Matematika, Komputer, Keperawatan, Pendidikan dan Ekonomi (IPM2KPE)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31539/1v67e665

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of national ginger production, the IDR/BDT exchange rate, Bangladesh’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and Indonesia’s inflation on the value of Indonesian ginger exports to Bangladesh during the period 2014–2024. The research employs a quantitative approach using time series secondary data obtained from Statistics Indonesia, Bank Indonesia, the World Bank, and other official sources. The independent variables consist of national ginger production, the IDR/BDT exchange rate, Bangladesh’s GDP, and Indonesia’s inflation, while the dependent variable is the value of ginger exports. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression with the assistance of EViews 13 software. The results indicate that, partially, national ginger production does not have a significant effect on the value of Indonesian ginger exports to Bangladesh. The IDR/BDT exchange rate has a significant effect on export value, indicating that exchange rate movements play an important role in determining export competitiveness. Furthermore, Bangladesh’s GDP has a negative and significant effect on Indonesian ginger export value, suggesting that economic growth in the partner country does not necessarily lead to increased imports of Indonesian ginger. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s inflation does not show a significant effect on export value. Simultaneously, all independent variables have a significant effect on the value of Indonesian ginger exports to Bangladesh
Co-Authors Azka Septianto