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Eddy Junaidi
Badan Pusat Statistik
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Covid 19 Impact To Regional Economic Growth And International Trade In Indonesia Eddy Junaidi; Miftakhul Jannah; Khusnudin Tri Subhi; Muhammad Rizki Yudistira
Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries Vol 5, No 1 (2020): Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries
Publisher : MESP–FEB UNS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/jaedc.v5i1.46143

Abstract

Covid-19 is a global health problem, including in Indonesia. In Southeast Asia, Indonesia is ranked first in the number of positive cases of Corona since June 17, 2020. Covid-19 cases in Indonesia are increasing every day and on November 9, 2020, the total number of Covid-19 cases in Indonesia is 440,569. The increase in the number of Covid-19 cases had an impact on the economic side where Indonesia's economic growth rate decreased and in the third quarter it was -3.49 percent. In addition, the export and import sectors also experienced decline. This research aims to analyze the impact of Covid-19, exports, imports and investment on Indonesia's economic growth and the impact of Covid-19 and investment on exports and imports in Indonesia. This study uses panel regression analysis with periods of data from the first quarter to the third quarter of 2020. The results show that the Covid-19 case has negative and significant effect on economic growth, while exports, imports and domestic investment do not have significant effect on economic growth. On exports and imports, Covid-19 has negative and significant effect on exports and imports while domestic investment has positive and significant impact on exports and imports in Indonesia.Keywords: Covid-19, growth rate, panel regression, time series 
DYNAMICS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE SECTOR AND FARMER’S TERM OF TRADE IN INDONESIA Eddy Junaidi; Miftakhul Jannah
Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries Vol 5, No 2 (2020): Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries
Publisher : MESP–FEB UNS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/jaedc.v5i2.46204

Abstract

The agricultural sector is a sector that supports the economy in Indonesia has been proven to be able to survive the Indonesian crisis in 1997-1998 and during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. This is evidenced by the large contribution of the Agricultural, Forestry, and Fisheries Industry to the national economy. Improving farmers' welfare needs to be prioritized after seeing the agricultural sector which continues to grow positively during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, in the second quarter of 2020 there was a decline in the exchange rate of farmers. Thus, a study is needed to analyze the exchange rate of farmers from year to year which can describe the movement of farmer welfare from 2011-2020. The results show the pattern of Economic Growth in the agricultural sector and Farmer’s Term of Trade s fluctuate, where if we look more deeply it shows a leading pattern for Economic Growth against FTT which shows that Agriculture Growth can It is used to predict Farmer’s Term of Trade, meanwhile Farmer’s Term of Trade cannot predict Agriculture Growth. Besides, it is observed that each sub-sector is proven to have their respective characteristics with a fluctuating pattern where the relationships formed generally have a unidirectional relationship wherein the Food Crops, Horticulture Crops and Animal Husbandry subsectors the relationships formed indicate that Economic Growth can be used to predict FTT. Meanwhile, in the Estate Crops and Fishery subsector, the relationship that is formed shows that FTT can be used to predict Economic Growth.Keywords: Agriculture, Economic growth, Farmer’s term of trade, Subsectors
Co-Authors Khusnudin Tri Subhi Miftakhul Jannah Muhammad Rizki Yudistira