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All Journal Jurnal Budget
Rastri Paramita
Budget Review Center, Parliamentary Expertise Agency, Secretariate General of House of Representatives of Indonesia
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Kinerja Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Ke Amerika Serikat Rastri Paramita
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 7 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

This study aims to examine how the influence of the Rupiah exchange rate against the United States Dollar, United States GDP, and Indonesian GDP on the performance of Indonesian coffee exports to the United States in the short and long term. The variable used in this study is the number of Indonesian coffee exports to the United States (XKUSA) (Trademap) as the dependent variable. Meanwhile, the independent variable consists of national income as a proxy for Indonesia's GDP (GDPI) (World Bank) and the United States GDP (GDP USA) (macrotrends) and the exchange rate of the Rupiah against the United States Dollar (NT) (fred.stlouisfed). The data analysis method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The results showed that the effect of the exchange rate on the performance of Indonesian coffee exports to the United States showed that the exchange rate variable was not significant in the short or long term. Both Indonesia's GDP and the United States' GDP have no effect on the demand for Indonesian coffee in the short term but have a significant effect in the long term. In the long term, Indonesia's GDP has a negative effect on Indonesian coffee exports to the United States. Meanwhile, the GDP of the United States has a significant positive effect on Indonesia's coffee exports to the United States.
PERMASALAHAN DAN TANTANGAN PENINGKATAN INVESTASI INDUSTRI HULU MIGAS Rastri Paramita
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 7 No 2 (2022): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the existing condition of the current upstream oil and gas policy and provide input on how can be more attractive in the future. The method used is qualitative phenomenology. The results of this study are that there are several problems that cause the slow increase in upstream oil and gas investment, including oil and gas is still a source of state revenue, non-conducive regulations, spatial planning and licensing lack of disclosure of geological data related to potential, and less attractive returns for contractors. This study compares fiscal terms with China, India, and Malaysia. The challenges faced by Indonesia's upstream oil and gas include fluctuations in world crude oil prices and supply-demand, geopolitical, and socio-political, meeting the energy transition target towards net zero emission, the implementation of two fiscal regimes that do not support each other, and the absence of asymmetric policies that match the characteristics of the work area. The recommendations are maximized fiscal terms and legal stability that can be adapted to current upstream oil and gas investment, making the two existing fiscal regimes mutually supportive in attracting investors and can be applied differently according to the characteristics of each work area.
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