Elisabeth Fitryany Manik
Universitas Negeri Medan

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The Influence of Population Number and Unemployment Rate on Poverty Level in North Tapanuli Regency 2013-2023 Sheryl Valencia Pangaribuan; Riris Hotma Roito Manalu; Mika Jun Fera Br. Limbong; Elisabeth Fitryany Manik
Outline Journal of Economic Studies Vol. 5 No. 2: April - September 2026
Publisher : Outline Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61730/wzpnxx55

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to analyze the effect of population size and unemployment rate on poverty levels in North Tapanuli Regency during the period 2013–2023. The research is conducted to understand how demographic and economic factors contribute to poverty dynamics in the region. Methods: This study employs a quantitative approach using descriptive analysis and multiple linear regression methods. Secondary data were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency and processed using SPSS software. The analysis includes classical assumption tests, namely normality and multicollinearity tests, as well as hypothesis testing through partial (t-test) and simultaneous (F-test) analysis. Results: The partial test results reveal that population has a significant negative effect on poverty levels (t = -5.585; sig = 0.001), while unemployment does not have a significant effect (t = 0.880; sig = 0.408). The simultaneous test indicates that population and unemployment jointly have a significant effect on poverty levels (F = 17.175; sig = 0.002). The coefficient of determination (R²) shows that 83.1% of the variation in poverty levels can be explained by the two independent variables. Originality: This study provides empirical evidence on the relationship between population, unemployment, and poverty at the regional level, particularly in North Tapanuli Regency. It highlights that population dynamics play a more dominant role in influencing poverty compared to unemployment, offering insights for policymakers in designing targeted poverty alleviation strategies.
Innovative Processing of Local Ginger's Superior Products into Instant Ginger Drink in Samosir Regency Sheryl Valencia Pangaribuan; Elisabeth Fitryany Manik; Harry Jaya Pramana; Jacob Kuntuy
Outline Journal of Economic Studies Vol. 5 No. 1: October - March 2026
Publisher : Outline Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61730/erq9nf92

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to analyze the potential of ginger (Zingiber officinale) as a superior regional commodity in Samosir Regency, North Sumatra, and to formulate development strategies for value-added processed products in the form of instant ginger drink. Methods: This research uses a descriptive quantitative approach. The analytical tools applied are the Location Quotient (LQ) to identify the comparative advantage of ginger among agricultural commodities in Samosir Regency, and SWOT analysis to evaluate internal and external factors affecting the development of instant ginger drink products. Results: The analysis shows that ginger has an LQ value of 2.117, indicating that it is a comparatively superior commodity in the region. The SWOT analysis identifies key strengths of instant ginger drink products, including ease of preparation and recognized health benefits. Conclusions: The development of instant ginger drink has strong potential to increase the added value of ginger production, improve farmers’ income, strengthen the local economy, and encourage diversification of horticultural products in Samosir Regency. Originality: This study combines LQ and SWOT analyses to assess both the regional superiority of ginger and strategic opportunities for developing value-added ginger-based products.