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ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF DOMESTIC INVESTMENT, FOREIGN INVESTMENT, TOTAL POPULATION, TOTAL CRIMINALITY AND TOTAL UNEMPLOYMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN DELI SERDANG DISTRICT: ARDL MODEL APPROACH Ramadhan Devan Pratama; Irsad Lubis; Raina Linda Sari
JHSS (JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL STUDIES) Vol 7, No 3. (2023): JHSS (Journal of Humanities and Social Studies)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS PAKUAN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33751/jhss.v7i3..7915

Abstract

The aim of development in a country or region is to improve the welfare and prosperity of society in a fair and equitable manner, one of which is by increasing sustainable economic growth. Because with high economic growth, it will reduce the unemployment rate, crime rate and changes in economic structure so that it has a positive impact on economic development itself. The main objective of this study is to analyze the effect of domestic investment, foreign investment, population, crime and unemployment on economic growth in Deli Serdang Regency. The data analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach in the time series data model and the observation time span of this study starts from 2010 to 2021 where data interpolation will be carried out in quarterly. According to the results of the analysis, the variables domestic investment and foreign direct investment have a positive significant effect on economic growth. Meanwhile, the variables of population, crime and unemployment have a negative significant impact on economic growth in the long run. However, in the short run, the variables of direct investment, foreign investment, population and crime have a positive significant impact on economic growth. on the other hand, only the number of unemployed has a negative significant effect on economic growth. Based on the results of this study, it is appropriate for the Government of Deli Serdang Regency to optimize programs that are oriented towards increasing investment both domestic and foreign, suppressing the rate of population growth and the number of unemployed and maintaining regional security in the Deli Serdang Regency area.
Analysis of the Effect of Corruption and Shadow Economy on the Economy and Sustainable Development of Developing Countries in the Asean Region Developing Countries in the ASEAN Region Ridho Irawan; Sirojuzilam Hasyim; Raina Linda Sari
Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) Vol 8 No 3 (2025): Sharia Economics
Publisher : Universitas KH. Abdul Chalim Mojokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31538/iijse.v8i3.8411

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the impact of corruption and shadow economy on the economy and sustainable development in developing countries in the ASEAN region. Corruption and shadow economy are two interrelated phenomena that have serious implications for governance, resource allocation efficiency, and the achievement of long-term development goals. This research uses a quantitative approach with the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel ARDL) method to identify short-term and long-term effects among variables. The variables used include corruption perception index (CPI), size of the shadow economy (SE), Gross Domestic Product per capita (GDP per capita), and Sustainable Development Index (SDG Index). The data used are secondary data obtained from various official institutions such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the Sustainable Development Report (SDR). The research results show that in the short term, neither corruption nor the shadow economy has a significant effect on GDP per capita or the SDG Index. However, in the long term, the shadow economy has a negative and significant effect on GDP per capita and the SDG Index. Meanwhile, corruption (CPI) also has a negative and significant effect on GDP per capita, but shows a positive and significant effect on the SDG Index. These findings show the complexity of the correlation among variables and the need for integrated policies that look upon the interaction between corruption and shadow economy in an effort to improve economic performance and achieve sustainable development in ASEAN developing countries.
Analysis of Gender Equality Against Per Capita Income on Sumatra Island Khairul Kamal; Raina Linda Sari; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) Vol 7 No 3 (2024): Sharia Economics
Publisher : Universitas KH. Abdul Chalim Mojokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31538/iijse.v7i3.8487

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of gender equality on per capita income in the Sumatra region using a panel data approach with the Random Effects Model (REM) estimation method. The model yielded a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.73825. In the context of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), gender equality is considered a key element in promoting inclusive and sustainable economic growth. This study utilizes panel data from 2018 to 2023, covering seven main indicators: the Human Development Index (HDI), the Gender Development Index (GDI), the Gender Inequality Index (GII), the ratio of average years of schooling between males and females (RLS), the ratio of the productive age population between males and females (RUP), the ratio of labor force participation rate between males and females (RTPAK), and women's representation in parliament (PP). The analysis results indicate that the Human Development Index and the ratio of average years of schooling between males and females have a positive and significant effect on per capita income in the Sumatra region.