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All Journal Applied Information System and Management G-Tech : Jurnal Teknologi Terapan
Cahyo Crysdian
Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang, Indonesia
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Energy Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media

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Analytic Predictive of Crescent Sighting Using Astronomical Data-Based Multinomial Logistic Regression in Indonesia Tomy Ivan Sugiharto; Mokhamad Amin Hariyadi; Totok Chamidy; Irwan Budi Santoso; Cahyo Crysdian; Ahmad Zarkoni; Ma'muri Ma'muri; Syahreni Syahreni
G-Tech: Jurnal Teknologi Terapan Vol 9 No 4 (2025): G-Tech, Vol. 9 No. 4 October 2025
Publisher : Universitas Islam Raden Rahmat, Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70609/g-tech.v9i4.8246

Abstract

This research aims to develop and validate a sophisticated crescent visibility classification model in Indonesia. Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) was chosen for its capability to provide clear model interpretation through coefficient analysis. Utilizing comprehensive observational data (2021-2025) from Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), the study comprised 2210 data points. The model classifies visibility into three categories (Dark, Faint, and Bright) based on defined elongation thresholds. The final predictor variables used were azimuth difference, moon altitude, and elongation. Analysis of the optimal model's (Model A3) coefficients revealed azimuth difference and elongation as the most dominant predictors, marked by exceptionally large positive coefficients (12.050 and 12.018, respectively) for classifying the 'Faint' category. After data preprocessing and systematic optimization ('saga' solver, L2 penalty), the optimal model (A3, C=100) demonstrated exceptional performance with an outstanding F1-Score of 99.10%. These findings strongly validate MLR's effectiveness for elongation-based crescent visibility classification and highlight its substantial potential as a reliable foundation for objective decision-making.
Enhancing Repeat Buyer Classification with Multi Feature Engineering in Logistic Regression Siska Farizah Mauludiah; Cahyo Crysdian; Yunifa Miftachul Arif
Applied Information System and Management (AISM) Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025): Applied Information System and Management (AISM)
Publisher : Depart. of Information Systems, FST, UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aism.v8i1.45025

Abstract

This study presents a novel approach to improving repeat buyer classification on e-commerce platforms by integrating Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence with logistic regression and focused feature engineering techniques. Repeat buyers are a critical segment for driving long-term revenue and customer retention, yet identifying them accurately poses challenges due to class imbalance and the complexity of consumer behavior. This research uses KL divergence in a new way to help choose important features and evaluate the model, making it easier to understand and more effective at classifying repeat buyers, unlike traditional methods. Using a real-world dataset from Indonesian e-commerce with 1,000 records, divided into 80% for training and 20% for testing, the study uses logistic regression along with techniques like SMOTE for oversampling, class weighting, and regularization to fix issues with data imbalance and overfitting. Model performance is assessed using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and KL divergence. Experimental results indicate that the KL-enhanced logistic regression model significantly outperforms the baseline, especially in balancing precision and recall for the minority class of repeat buyers. The unique contribution of this work lies in its synergistic use of KL divergence in both the feature engineering and evaluation phases, offering a robust, interpreted, and data-efficient solution. For e-commerce businesses, the findings translate into improved targeting of high-value customers, better personalization of marketing efforts, and more strategic allocation of resources. This research offers practical tips for enhancing predictive customer analytics and supports data-driven decision-making in digital commerce environments.
Co-Authors Ahmad Zarkoni Irwan Budi Santoso Ma'muri Ma'muri Mokhamad Amin Hariyadi Siska Farizah Mauludiah Syahreni Syahreni Tomy Ivan Sugiharto Totok Chamidy Yunifa Miftachul Arif