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All Journal Entrepreneur : Jurnal Bisnis Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan
Badi'atul Ulwiyah
universitas pekalongan
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi Dan Ketidakpastian Global Terhadap Neraca Perdagangan Indonesia Tahun 2013-2023 Badi'atul Ulwiyah; Meliza
Entrepreneur: Jurnal Bisnis Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024): JULI
Publisher : Program Studi Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis Universitas Majalengka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31949/entrepreneur.v5i2.9327

Abstract

The balance of trade is one of the measures that reflects the extent of a country's economic balance with the outside world. This study aims to evaluate the impact of macroeconomic variables and global uncertainty on Indonesia's trade balance from 2013 to 2023 using the quantitative ARDL approach. Findings indicate that exchange rates, inflation, and global uncertainty significantly affect the trade balance in the short term, but do not have the same impact in the long term. Specifically, exchange rates have a significant positive impact, inflation also has a significant positive impact, while global uncertainty has a significant negative impact. However, interest rates and GDP do not have a significant influence on Indonesia's trade balance in both the short and long term. This research provides valuable insights for Indonesian economic and trade policies to address global challenges and enhance the country's trade balance.
Co-Authors Meliza Meliza