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All Journal SAINSMAT SAINSMAT: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS)
Shanty, Meyrna Vidya
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Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Mathematics Physics

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Modeling Factors Influencing Covid-19 Cases in South Sulawesi Using Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive Localised Yassar, La Ode Salman; Shanty, Meyrna Vidya; Mahadtir, Muhamad; Aswi, Aswi; Annas, Suwardi
Sainsmat : Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Vol 13, No 1 (2024): Maret
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/sainsmat131606362024

Abstract

South Sulawesi Province is listed as the province with the highest number of Covid-19 cases in the Sulawes island. Research on Covid-19 modeling has been carried out by many researchers, but until now, there has been no research using the Bayesian spatial Conditional Autoregressive Localized model which involves a combination of factors such as distance to the provincial capital, population density, and the number of elderly people in each district in South Sulawesi Province. The aim of this research is to get the best Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive Localized model. The best model is based on four criteria, namely: Deviance Information Criteria, Watanabe Akaike Information Criteria, residuals from Modified Moran's I, and the number of areas included in a group. It was found that model with G=3 by including population density covariates was the best model. A significant factor influencing the increase in Covid-19 cases is the population density factor which has a positive effect. This shows that the more densely populated an area is, the greater the chance of being infected with Covid-19. Makassar has the highest relative risk value for Covid-19 followed by Toraja district and Pare-Pare City. Meanwhile, Bone district has the lowest relative risk value for Covid-19, followed by Wajo district and Enrekang district.
Statistical Modeling and Factors Influencing School Dropout in Indonesia: A Review Shanty, Meyrna Vidya; Mahadtir, Muhamad; Awaluddin, Awaluddin; Natalia, Derliani; Ramadani, Reski Aulia; Aswi, Aswi
Sainsmat : Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Vol 13, No 1 (2024): Maret
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/sainsmat131608032024

Abstract

The education enrollment rate is crucial for Indonesia to improve its human resources and sustain its economic development. In reality, the dropout student rate is still relatively high. Previous research has highlighted several factors and models related to the dropout student rate in Indonesia. The purpose of the study is to identify the most popular statistical modeling and factors influencing school dropout in Indonesia. We searched in February 2023 using ScienceDirect, ProQuest, and Google Scholar. The search was restricted to refereed journal articles published in English from January 2013 to December 2022. This study underwent four stages: identification, screening, eligibility, and inclusion. The study finds that the most popular statistical modeling is the Logistic Regression Model, and the most significant factor increasing the school dropout rate in Indonesia is family and economic factors. The findings suggest that children who were not attending school came from families with lower levels of education. The well-being of these families was directly linked to their children's educational status. The primary reasons for young students dropping out of elementary and junior schools include an inability to pay school fees and a desire to work on farms to support their parents.
Co-Authors Aswi, Aswi Herman, Nur Taj Alya’ Mahadtir, Muhamad Natalia, Derliani Nurhikmawati, Nurhikmawati Ramadani, Reski Aulia Sukarna Sukarna Suwardi Annas Yassar, La Ode Salman