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The Pro-Climate Policy Carbon Tax, Is It Also Pro-Poor Policy? Sutisna, Irwan
Bappenas Working Papers Vol 6 No 2 (2023): Juli 2023
Publisher : Kementerian Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional (Bappenas)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47266/bwp.v6i2.200

Abstract

The Indonesian government introduced a carbon tax on April 1st, 2022. For the first stage, a carbon tax of IDR 30 per kilogram of CO2 will be applied to the coal-fired Steam Power Plant (PLTU) using a cap-and-tax mechanism. This study analyzes the impact of carbon tax policies according to different economic structures. Which region and sector are most affected? Furthermore, what is the effect of the carbon tax policy on economic growth, the unemployment rate, and poverty? There is a potential carbon tax revenue of IDR 5,846 billion. However, due to the cap-and-tax scheme, this study only allocates a potential tax revenue of IDR 1,000 billion. This potential tax revenue will be injected into further simulations. The first simulation shows that West Papua, East Kalimantan, and South Sumatra are the most severely affected provinces. It is rational since the coal mining and coal processing industries dominate their economy. Provinces with significant agriculture shares, such as the Special Region of Yogyakarta, North Sumatra, and West Sumatra, are the least affected by the policy. Simulation II is done by reallocating carbon tax revenues to the agricultural sector. The result shows that, although GDP increased by IDR 1,299.41 billion (0.0084%), it is not enough to shift the economy back to its previous state. On the other hand, although the economy continues to contract, the unemployment rate has decreased. The carbon tax has put 5,116 people out of work, mainly workers in the mining and coal processing sectors, and therefore, the unemployment rate increased by 0.0039%. However, the reallocation of tax revenues to the agricultural sector creates 23,483 new jobs, bringing unemployment down by 0.0183%. Finally, although economic growth is still slightly declining (-0.0112%), unemployment, poverty, and inequality are improving.
ANALISIS INPUT-OUTPUT DAMPAK SEKTOR PARIWISATA TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN DI PROVINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA Buana, Arya Galih; Ghefira Nurhaliza, Celine; Fauzan, Achmad; Sutisna, Irwan
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Vol. 6 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Bina Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46306/lb.v6i1.865

Abstract

The tourism sector plays an important role in increasing employment absorption, promoting equitable business opportunities, and contributing to foreign exchange earings. In 2023, optimism in Indonesia's tourism sector grew, with the number of domestic tourist trips reaching 825.80 million, an increase of 12.37 percent compared to 2022. The Special Region of Yogyakarta (DIY) is one of the most popular tourist destinations in Indonesia, known for its cultural, historical, and natural richness. The growth of tourist visits in DIY not only increases direct income from tourism activities but also positively impacts other economic sectors such as culinary, handicrafts, transportation, and services. This study aims to analyze the role of the tourism sector in DIY in driving and contributing to the regional economy using the Input-Output table. Backward and forward linkage analysis is used to identify key sectors in the economy. The results show that the air transportation sector has the highest spread value among other tourism sectors, while the food and beverage provision sub-sector contributes the most to the total Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) at Current Market Prices in DIY. Simulations of a 1000 billion rupiah investment in each tourism sub-sector show that the air transportation sub-sector provides the largest total impact, while the food and beverage provision sub-sector makes a significant contribution to economic output. Employment projections indicate that the transportation and warehousing sector can create approximately 37,183 new jobs, while the accommodation and food and beverage sector can generate around 3,523 new jobs. Equal investment in each sub-sector is estimated to increase economic growth by 4.25% and reduce the number of unemployment people by 1.832%.