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Capital Flow Management Within Macroeconomics Stability Framework in Indonesia 2008.Q1 – 2022.Q2 Nareswari, Kinanthi Sekar; Astuti, Rini Dwi; Bhinadi, Ardito
International Journal of Accounting & Finance in Asia Pasific (IJAFAP) Vol 7, No 2 (2024): JUNE EDITION INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING FINANCE IN ASIA PASIFIC
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/ijafap.v7i2.2240

Abstract

Indonesia is an EMDEs (Emerging Market and Developing Economies) country, and adopting an open economy causes foreign capital flow, especially FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) and PI (Portfolio Investment) can be free flows, and its movements are unpredictable. The movement of capital flows will affect the money supply, transmitted to monetary and macroeconomic variables. Capital flow and macroeconomic stability must be monitored and managed as a consideration for the central bank in formulating appropriate policies to achieve macroeconomic stability, especially exchange rates and inflation. The analysis tools used Vector Error Correction Model Granger Causality. The results show that exchange rate and inflation shocks significantly impact FDI and PI. While the results of Granger causality, changes in macroeconomic variables cause changes in FDI and PI. This research recommends that stakeholders continue implementing policy mix and monetary policy to improve exchange rates and inflation stability. In addition, the management of capital flows still considers because the potential risks posed to the economy are quite large.
Capital Flow Management Within Macroeconomics Stability Framework in Indonesia (2008 – 2022) Nareswari, Kinanthi Sekar; Astuti, Rini Dwi; Bhinadi, Ardito
International Journal of Accounting and Finance in Asia Pasific (IJAFAP) Vol 7, No 2 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/ijafap.v7i2.2240

Abstract

Indonesia is an EMDEs (Emerging Market and Developing Economies) country, and adopting an open economy causes foreign capital flow, especially FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) and PI (Portfolio Investment) can be free flows, and its movements are unpredictable. The movement of capital flows will affect the money supply transmitted to monetary and macroeconomic variables. This study aims to determine the response and contribution of macroeconomic variables to FDI and PI, as well as examining the causality between macroeconomic variables, FDI and PI. This research used the Vector Error Correction Model Granger Causality. The results show that exchange rate and inflation shocks significantly impact FDI and PI. While the results of Granger causality, changes in macroeconomic variables cause changes in FDI and PI. This research recommends that stakeholders continue implementing policy mix and monetary policy to improve exchange rates and inflation stability. In addition, the management of capital flows is still considered because the potential risks posed to the economy are quite large.