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All Journal Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics Indatu Journal of Management and Accounting
Ali, Najabat
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Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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Innovation and Economic Growth in the Top Five Southeast Asian Economies: A Decomposition Analysis Hardi, Irsan; Ray, Samrat; Attari, Muhammad Umer Quddoos; Ali, Najabat; Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig
Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): April 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/eje.v2i1.145

Abstract

Innovation has the potential to act as a double-edged sword in impacting economic growth. While it serves as a powerful driver of economic advancement, it also carries risks alongside its benefits. Recognizing this duality, our study aims to fill the identified gap and add comprehensiveness to the literature by assessing the individual impact of innovation indicators on economic growth in the top five Southeast Asian countries based on GDP: Indonesia, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam. The innovation aspect comprises 21 indicators from the Global Innovation Index (GII), grouped into seven categories: institution, human capital and research, infrastructure, market sophistication, business sophistication, knowledge and technology outputs, and creative outputs. Both panel analysis and country-specific assessments consistently conclude that innovation significantly influences economic growth. However, delving into the categorized indicators reveals intriguing insights. While all the indicators demonstrate a notable impact, most of them are found to hinder rather than foster economic growth. This compelling empirical evidence underscores that innovation in the selected countries has yet to be optimized, highlighting the urgent need to implement innovation-friendly policies, including removing innovation barriers, targeting investment in key sectors, and fostering education and skills development. This holistic approach aims to cultivate an environment conducive to innovation, thereby solidifying innovation's role as one of the primary drivers of economic growth.
Business Confidence in Indonesia: Which Macroeconomic Factors Have Long-Term Impact? Hardi, Irsan; Ali, Najabat; Duwal, Niroj; Devi, N. Chitra; Mardayanti, Ulfa; Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig
Indatu Journal of Management and Accounting Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijma.v2i1.203

Abstract

Business confidence refers to the level of optimism or pessimism that business owners have about the prospects of their companies and the overall economy. Thus, the focus of this study is to examine the long-term impact of various macroeconomic factors—economic growth, government expenditure, interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, and the composite stock price index—on the business confidence index in Indonesia by utilizing monthly data from January 2009 to December 2022. We employ Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) and Fully-Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) as the main methods, with Canonical Cointegrating Regressions (CCR) as a robustness check method. The study also utilizes pairwise Granger causality tests for a comprehensive analysis. The findings indicate that all macroeconomic factors significantly impact the business confidence index in the long term across all methodologies. Specifically, economic growth, inflation, and the composite stock price index exert a positive impact, while government expenditure, interest rates, and exchange rates indicate a negative impact on the business confidence index. This evidence emphasizes the importance for businesses to diligently monitor macroeconomic trends and understand the patterns in these indicators so that companies can better anticipate changes in business sentiment. Taking a long-term perspective when making strategic decisions and investments is also advisable, recognizing that the influence of macroeconomic factors on business confidence may be more pronounced over time.
Co-Authors Attari, Muhammad Umer Quddoos Devi, N. Chitra Duwal, Niroj Hardi, Irsan Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig Mardayanti, Ulfa Ray, Samrat