Haldi, Muhammad
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Analisis Kausalitas Antara Korupsi, Investasi, Pengangguran dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Haldi, Muhammad
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 7 No. 03 (2023): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v7i03.27044

Abstract

This study analyzes the causality and short-term and long-term relationships between corruption, investment, unemployment, and per capita economic growth in twenty-two Asia-Pacific countries from 2012 to 2020. This study uses the Granger causality approach and the Vector Error Correction Model to answer the problem in this study. The empirical results show that corruption and per capita economic growth has a two-way causality, and the unemployment rate and per capita economic growth only have a one-way causality. On the other hand, the rest have no causal relationship. In the short term, corruption does not significantly affect per capita economic growth and unemployment. However, significant and negative in influencing the level of investment. Meanwhile, in the long term, corruption significantly and negatively affects economic growth per capita. The level of investment and unemployment has a significant and positive effect on economic growth per capita. Therefore, corruption is an obstacle to economic growth and not a "lubricant."   Studi ini menganalisis kausalitas dan hubungan jangka pendek dan jangka panjang antara korupsi, investasi, pengangguran, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi per kapita di dua puluh dua negara Asia-Pasifik dari tahun 2012 hingga 2020. Studi ini menggunakan pendekatan kausalitas Granger dan Vector Error Correction Model untuk menjawab permasalahan dalam penelitian ini. Hasil empiris menunjukkan bahwa korupsi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi per kapita memiliki kausalitas dua arah, sedangkan tingkat pengangguran dan pertumbuhan ekonomi per kapita hanya memiliki kausalitas satu arah. Di sisi lain, sisanya tidak memiliki hubungan sebab akibat. Dalam jangka pendek, korupsi tidak secara signifikan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi per kapita dan pengangguran. Namun, signifikan dan negatif dalam mempengaruhi tingkat investasi. Sementara itu, dalam jangka panjang, korupsi secara signifikan dan negatif mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi per kapita. Tingkat investasi dan pengangguran berpengaruh signifikan dan positif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi per kapita. Oleh karena itu, korupsi merupakan penghambat pertumbuhan ekonomi dan bukan "pelumas".
Does Corruption, Unemployment, and Investment Affect Economic Growth in ASEAN-9 Haldi, Muhammad; Fuddin, Muhammad Khoirul
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 13 No 1 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

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Abstract

This research aims to analyze causality relationships and see the impact of different periods on the short- and long-term macroeconomic and non-economic variables in nine ASEAN countries, using the period from 2012 to 2022. This research uses the Granger causality approach and the Vector Error Correction Model to answer the problems in this research. The empirical results show no causal relationship between the variations in macroeconomic and non-economic variables used in this research. However, in the short term, we found that the interaction of macroeconomic and non-economic variables had a significant mutual influence. On the other hand, in the long term, corruption and unemployment have a significant and negative effect on economic growth, followed by foreign direct investment, which has a significant and positive effect on economic growth. More than that, we found an interesting thing: short- and long-term corruption is like a double-edged sword. In the short term, corruption is a driving force in the ASEAN economy, but in the long term, it causes something destructive for economic growth.