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Determination of Air Stability Parameter Threshold Value for Cumulonimbus and Thunderstorm Cloud Events at Kualanamu Meteorological Station Prima, Rajab; Arifianto, Fendy; Donni H, Yosafat; Avrionesti, Avrionesti
Journal of Technomaterial Physics Vol. 5 No. 2 (2023): Journal of Technomaterial Physics
Publisher : Talenta Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32734/jotp.v5i2.12487

Abstract

Many studies have carried out calculations related to atmospheric lability as a reference in weather forecasts, especially cumulonimbus clouds, and thunderstorms. However, many air lability index values are found to be inappropriate in each region because conditions in each region are different from each other in the region. So it is necessary to use precise index thresholds to determine weather conditions. In the study, observational data and data from Showalter Index (SI), Lifted Index (LI), K Index (KI), Severe Weather Threat Index (SWEAT), and Convective data were used. Available Potential Energy (CAPE) for ten years (2013-2022), then statistical calculations and verification for one year (2022) are carried out. The results obtained are the atmospheric stability index with the best accuracy in predicting the presence of cumulonimbus clouds and thunderstorms at the Kualanamu Meteorological Station, Deli Serdang is the best LI index to predict TS 00 and TS 12, and the best KI index to predict CB 00 and CB 12.
Microphysical Parameterization Scheme with Satellite Data Verification and Observation Data for Analysis of Heavy Rain in Yogyakarta City Prima, Rajab; Athallah, Muhammad Syauqi Bima; Ramadhani , Gema Reksa
Frontier Advances in Applied Science and Engineering Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Tinta Emas Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59535/faase.v2i1.240

Abstract

The numerical weather prediction model Weather Research and Forecasting - Advanced Research WRF (WRF-ARW) was used to simulate the atmospheric conditions during heavy rainfall in the Yogyakarta area on February 3, 2022. Several parameterization schemes were compared with observational data to obtain the best choice of microphysical parameterization scheme in describing the atmospheric conditions at the time of the event. The microphysical parameterization schemes used are: Kessler, Purdue Lin, and WRF Single-Moment. Class (WSM3). The verification results show that the Kessler microphysical parameterization scheme has the best performance in representing heavy rain events with a fairly high low cloud fraction data accuracy value ranging from 0.3 - 0.4 and the highest rainfall modeling value is 8.3 mm. It can be concluded that the Kessler scheme is sufficient to model the occurrence of heavy rain in the city of Yogyakarta.